Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.413.13safe0.75–2.680.56–2.271.31–4.95safer0.50–2.940.33–2.500.83–5.43
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.444.389.83safe3.58–7.312.64–6.136.22–13.43safer3.09–7.802.18–6.595.27–14.39
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1411.5828.72safe13.22–21.078.02–15.1421.24–36.21safer12.13–22.167.06–16.1019.19–38.26
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction10.638.1318.76safe7.68–13.575.45–10.8113.14–24.38safer6.86–14.404.71–11.5511.57–25.95
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.843.107.93safe2.96–6.721.44–4.754.40–11.47safer2.41–7.260.95–5.243.36–12.50
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.074.3110.38safe3.86–8.282.31–6.316.17–14.59safer3.28–8.861.78–6.845.06–15.70
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction51.2448.40safe44.45–58.0341.61–55.18safer42.78–59.7039.94–56.85
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction491467958safe423–558401–534824–1092safer405–576383–551789–1128
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction73.4474.93safe69.41–77.4770.60–79.25safer68.11–78.7669.29–80.56
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2912.5324.82safe9.45–15.139.58–15.4719.03–30.60safer8.69–15.888.83–16.2217.53–32.10
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.673.30safe0.47–2.790.58–2.761.05–5.56safer0.17–3.090.29–3.050.46–6.15
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.912.324.23safe0.86–2.961.19–3.452.05–6.41safer0.59–3.220.90–3.741.49–6.96
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.486.36safe1.45–4.321.93–5.043.37–9.36safer1.06–4.711.50–5.462.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 0.75–2.68 0.50–2.94 | 1.41 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 3.13 1.31–4.95 0.83–5.43 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Shots on target | 5.44 3.58–7.31 3.09–7.80 | 4.38 2.64–6.13 2.18–6.59 | 9.83 6.22–13.43 5.27–14.39 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 17.14 13.22–21.07 12.13–22.16 | 11.58 8.02–15.14 7.06–16.10 | 28.72 21.24–36.21 19.19–38.26 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.63 7.68–13.57 6.86–14.40 | 8.13 5.45–10.81 4.71–11.55 | 18.76 13.14–24.38 11.57–25.95 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.84 2.96–6.72 2.41–7.26 | 3.10 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 7.93 4.40–11.47 3.36–12.50 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 6.07 3.86–8.28 3.28–8.86 | 4.31 2.31–6.31 1.78–6.84 | 10.38 6.17–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 51.24 44.45–58.03 42.78–59.70 | 48.40 41.61–55.18 39.94–56.85 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 491 423–558 405–576 | 467 401–534 383–551 | 958 824–1092 789–1128 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.44 69.41–77.47 68.11–78.76 | 74.93 70.60–79.25 69.29–80.56 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 12.29 9.45–15.13 8.69–15.88 | 12.53 9.58–15.47 8.83–16.22 | 24.82 19.03–30.60 17.53–32.10 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.67 0.58–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 3.30 1.05–5.56 0.46–6.15 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.59–3.22 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 4.23 2.05–6.41 1.49–6.96 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.45–4.32 1.06–4.71 | 3.48 1.93–5.04 1.50–5.46 | 6.36 3.37–9.36 2.56–10.17 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.