Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.783.32safe0.57–2.510.92–2.631.49–5.14safer0.32–2.760.69–2.861.02–5.62
Shots on target
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.775.069.83safe2.90–6.633.32–6.816.23–13.44safer2.41–7.122.86–7.275.27–14.39
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6013.9627.57safe9.68–17.5310.40–17.5320.08–35.05safer8.59–18.629.44–18.4918.03–37.11
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2610.0119.27safe6.32–12.207.33–12.6913.65–24.89safer5.49–13.036.59–13.4312.08–26.46
Blocked shots
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.854.358.20safe1.97–5.732.70–6.004.66–11.74safer1.43–6.282.20–6.493.63–12.77
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.175.0210.19safe2.96–7.383.02–7.025.97–14.40safer2.38–7.962.48–7.554.87–15.51
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction50.2551.39safe43.46–57.0444.61–58.18safer41.79–58.7142.94–59.85
Passes
44%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction481498978safe414–548431–564845–1112safer395–566414–582809–1148
Pass accuracy %
25%
70%
homeawayprediction71.6876.31safe67.65–75.7171.99–80.63safer66.35–77.0070.68–81.94
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6612.2723.92safe8.82–14.499.32–15.2118.14–29.71safer8.06–15.258.57–15.9616.64–31.21
Offsides
41%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.643.38safe0.58–2.900.55–2.731.12–5.63safer0.28–3.200.26–3.020.53–6.22
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.073.66safe0.54–2.640.94–3.201.48–5.84safer0.27–2.910.65–3.490.92–6.40
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.203.146.34safe1.76–4.641.58–4.693.34–9.33safer1.38–5.021.16–5.122.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.57–2.51 0.32–2.76 | 1.78 0.92–2.63 0.69–2.86 | 3.32 1.49–5.14 1.02–5.62 | 34% 23% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.77 2.90–6.63 2.41–7.12 | 5.06 3.32–6.81 2.86–7.27 | 9.83 6.23–13.44 5.27–14.39 | 40% 47% |
| Total shots | 13.60 9.68–17.53 8.59–18.62 | 13.96 10.40–17.53 9.44–18.49 | 27.57 20.08–35.05 18.03–37.11 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 9.26 6.32–12.20 5.49–13.03 | 10.01 7.33–12.69 6.59–13.43 | 19.27 13.65–24.89 12.08–26.46 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.97–5.73 1.43–6.28 | 4.35 2.70–6.00 2.20–6.49 | 8.20 4.66–11.74 3.63–12.77 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Corners | 5.17 2.96–7.38 2.38–7.96 | 5.02 3.02–7.02 2.48–7.55 | 10.19 5.97–14.40 4.87–15.51 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 50.25 43.46–57.04 41.79–58.71 | 51.39 44.61–58.18 42.94–59.85 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 481 414–548 395–566 | 498 431–564 414–582 | 978 845–1112 809–1148 | 44% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.68 67.65–75.71 66.35–77.00 | 76.31 71.99–80.63 70.68–81.94 | — | 25% 70% |
| Fouls | 11.66 8.82–14.49 8.06–15.25 | 12.27 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.96 | 23.92 18.14–29.71 16.64–31.21 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.64 0.55–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.38 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 41% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.91 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.92–6.40 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.20 1.76–4.64 1.38–5.02 | 3.14 1.58–4.69 1.16–5.12 | 6.34 3.34–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+