Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.923.15safe0.26–2.201.07–2.781.33–4.97safer0.01–2.450.84–3.000.85–5.45
Shots on target
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction4.026.1710.18safe2.15–5.884.42–7.916.58–13.79safer1.66–6.373.96–8.385.62–14.74
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2614.9628.22safe9.34–17.1911.39–18.5220.73–35.71safer8.25–18.2810.44–19.4818.68–37.76
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction7.9110.5318.44safe4.97–10.867.85–13.2112.82–24.06safer4.14–11.697.11–13.9411.25–25.63
Blocked shots
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.644.378.00safe1.76–5.522.71–6.024.47–11.54safer1.21–6.072.22–6.513.43–12.58
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.545.269.80safe2.32–6.753.26–7.265.58–14.01safer1.75–7.322.73–7.794.48–15.12
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.3153.93safe39.52–53.1047.15–60.72safer37.85–54.7745.47–62.39
Passes
32%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction412467878safe345–479400–533745–1012safer326–497383–551709–1048
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction66.2974.31safe62.26–70.3269.98–78.63safer60.97–71.6168.67–79.94
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0610.6222.69safe9.22–14.907.68–13.5716.90–28.47safer8.47–15.666.93–14.3215.40–29.97
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.783.51safe0.57–2.890.69–2.871.25–5.76safer0.27–3.190.40–3.160.67–6.35
Yellow cards
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.693.29safe0.55–2.650.56–2.821.11–5.47safer0.29–2.920.27–3.110.56–6.03
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.862.896.75safe2.42–5.301.33–4.453.76–9.74safer2.04–5.680.91–4.872.94–10.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.92 1.07–2.78 0.84–3.00 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Shots on target | 4.02 2.15–5.88 1.66–6.37 | 6.17 4.42–7.91 3.96–8.38 | 10.18 6.58–13.79 5.62–14.74 | 20% 70% |
| Total shots | 13.26 9.34–17.19 8.25–18.28 | 14.96 11.39–18.52 10.44–19.48 | 28.22 20.73–35.71 18.68–37.76 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 7.91 4.97–10.86 4.14–11.69 | 10.53 7.85–13.21 7.11–13.94 | 18.44 12.82–24.06 11.25–25.63 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.52 1.21–6.07 | 4.37 2.71–6.02 2.22–6.51 | 8.00 4.47–11.54 3.43–12.58 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 4.54 2.32–6.75 1.75–7.32 | 5.26 3.26–7.26 2.73–7.79 | 9.80 5.58–14.01 4.48–15.12 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 46.31 39.52–53.10 37.85–54.77 | 53.93 47.15–60.72 45.47–62.39 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 412 345–479 326–497 | 467 400–533 383–551 | 878 745–1012 709–1048 | 32% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.29 62.26–70.32 60.97–71.61 | 74.31 69.98–78.63 68.67–79.94 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 12.06 9.22–14.90 8.47–15.66 | 10.62 7.68–13.57 6.93–14.32 | 22.69 16.90–28.47 15.40–29.97 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.78 0.69–2.87 0.40–3.16 | 3.51 1.25–5.76 0.67–6.35 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 1.69 0.56–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 3.29 1.11–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.86 2.42–5.30 2.04–5.68 | 2.89 1.33–4.45 0.91–4.87 | 6.75 3.76–9.74 2.94–10.55 | 57% 15% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.