Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
21%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.083.13safe1.09–3.030.22–1.931.31–4.96safer0.84–3.280.00–2.160.83–5.44
Shots on target
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.223.709.93safe4.36–8.081.96–5.456.32–13.53safer3.87–8.571.50–5.915.37–14.49
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction18.9110.9129.82safe14.99–22.847.35–14.4722.34–37.31safer13.90–23.936.39–15.4320.29–39.36
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction12.876.9519.83safe9.93–15.814.27–9.6314.20–25.45safer9.10–16.643.54–10.3712.64–27.02
Blocked shots
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction5.562.878.43safe3.68–7.441.22–4.524.89–11.96safer3.13–7.980.72–5.023.86–13.00
Corners
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.603.7810.38safe4.39–8.821.78–5.786.17–14.60safer3.82–9.391.24–6.315.06–15.70
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction56.8842.74safe50.09–63.6735.95–49.52safer48.42–65.3434.28–51.19
Passes
86%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction513381895safe446–581315–448761–1028safer428–599297–465725–1064
Pass accuracy %
70%
25%
homeawayprediction73.5268.91safe69.49–77.5564.58–73.23safer68.20–78.8463.28–74.54
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1712.9723.14safe7.33–13.0110.03–15.9217.36–28.92safer6.58–13.769.28–16.6615.85–30.43
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.433.33safe0.74–3.060.34–2.521.08–5.58safer0.44–3.360.05–2.810.49–6.17
Yellow cards
19%
21%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.112.093.20safe0.06–2.160.96–3.221.02–5.38safer0.00–2.420.67–3.510.46–5.94
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.77
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.434.366.78safe0.99–3.862.80–5.913.79–9.78safer0.60–4.252.38–6.342.98–10.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.06 1.09–3.03 0.84–3.28 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 3.13 1.31–4.96 0.83–5.44 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.22 4.36–8.08 3.87–8.57 | 3.70 1.96–5.45 1.50–5.91 | 9.93 6.32–13.53 5.37–14.49 | 74% 17% |
| Total shots | 18.91 14.99–22.84 13.90–23.93 | 10.91 7.35–14.47 6.39–15.43 | 29.82 22.34–37.31 20.29–39.36 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 12.87 9.93–15.81 9.10–16.64 | 6.95 4.27–9.63 3.54–10.37 | 19.83 14.20–25.45 12.64–27.02 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 5.56 3.68–7.44 3.13–7.98 | 2.87 1.22–4.52 0.72–5.02 | 8.43 4.89–11.96 3.86–13.00 | 78% 13% |
| Corners | 6.60 4.39–8.82 3.82–9.39 | 3.78 1.78–5.78 1.24–6.31 | 10.38 6.17–14.60 5.06–15.70 | 77% 15% |
| Possession % | 56.88 50.09–63.67 48.42–65.34 | 42.74 35.95–49.52 34.28–51.19 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 513 446–581 428–599 | 381 315–448 297–465 | 895 761–1028 725–1064 | 86% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.52 69.49–77.55 68.20–78.84 | 68.91 64.58–73.23 63.28–74.54 | — | 70% 25% |
| Fouls | 10.17 7.33–13.01 6.58–13.76 | 12.97 10.03–15.92 9.28–16.66 | 23.14 17.36–28.92 15.85–30.43 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.33 1.08–5.58 0.49–6.17 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.11 0.06–2.16 0.00–2.42 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.20 1.02–5.38 0.46–5.94 | 19% 21% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.43 0.99–3.86 0.60–4.25 | 4.36 2.80–5.91 2.38–6.34 | 6.78 3.79–9.78 2.98–10.59 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.