Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.363.30safe0.98–2.920.50–2.211.48–5.13safer0.73–3.170.27–2.441.00–5.60
Shots on target
59%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.934.7010.63safe4.06–7.792.96–6.447.02–14.23safer3.57–8.282.49–6.916.07–15.19
Total shots
73%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4113.5730.97safe13.48–21.3310.00–17.1323.49–38.46safer12.39–22.429.05–18.0921.44–40.51
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction11.608.5320.13safe8.66–14.545.85–11.2114.50–25.75safer7.83–15.375.11–11.9512.94–27.32
Blocked shots
58%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.623.508.12safe2.74–6.501.85–5.164.59–11.66safer2.20–7.051.36–5.653.55–12.69
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.084.3410.43safe3.87–8.302.34–6.346.21–14.64safer3.30–8.871.81–6.885.11–15.75
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction50.8149.01safe44.02–57.6042.23–55.80safer42.35–59.2740.56–57.47
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction475432907safe408–542366–499774–1041safer390–561348–516738–1077
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction70.3972.55safe66.37–74.4268.23–76.87safer65.07–75.7266.92–78.18
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0811.2524.33safe10.24–15.918.31–14.2018.55–30.11safer9.48–16.677.56–14.9517.04–31.61
Offsides
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.323.55safe1.07–3.390.22–2.411.29–5.80safer0.77–3.690.00–2.700.71–6.39
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.144.00safe0.81–2.901.01–3.271.82–6.18safer0.54–3.170.72–3.561.26–6.73
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
31%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.204.027.23safe1.77–4.642.46–5.584.23–10.22safer1.38–5.032.04–6.003.42–11.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.95 0.98–2.92 0.73–3.17 | 1.36 0.50–2.21 0.27–2.44 | 3.30 1.48–5.13 1.00–5.60 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.93 4.06–7.79 3.57–8.28 | 4.70 2.96–6.44 2.49–6.91 | 10.63 7.02–14.23 6.07–15.19 | 59% 30% |
| Total shots | 17.41 13.48–21.33 12.39–22.42 | 13.57 10.00–17.13 9.05–18.09 | 30.97 23.49–38.46 21.44–40.51 | 73% 22% |
| Shots in box | 11.60 8.66–14.54 7.83–15.37 | 8.53 5.85–11.21 5.11–11.95 | 20.13 14.50–25.75 12.94–27.32 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.62 2.74–6.50 2.20–7.05 | 3.50 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 8.12 4.59–11.66 3.55–12.69 | 58% 13% 28% |
| Corners | 6.08 3.87–8.30 3.30–8.87 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.81–6.88 | 10.43 6.21–14.64 5.11–15.75 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 50.81 44.02–57.60 42.35–59.27 | 49.01 42.23–55.80 40.56–57.47 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 475 408–542 390–561 | 432 366–499 348–516 | 907 774–1041 738–1077 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.39 66.37–74.42 65.07–75.72 | 72.55 68.23–76.87 66.92–78.18 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 13.08 10.24–15.91 9.48–16.67 | 11.25 8.31–14.20 7.56–14.95 | 24.33 18.55–30.11 17.04–31.61 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 2.23 1.07–3.39 0.77–3.69 | 1.32 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.55 1.29–5.80 0.71–6.39 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 4.00 1.82–6.18 1.26–6.73 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.20 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 4.02 2.46–5.58 2.04–6.00 | 7.23 4.23–10.22 3.42–11.03 | 31% 14% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.