Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.743.45safe0.75–2.680.88–2.591.63–5.28safer0.50–2.940.65–2.821.15–5.76
Shots on target
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.545.6111.15safe3.68–7.403.87–7.357.54–14.75safer3.19–7.893.40–7.826.59–15.71
Total shots
51%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9615.3131.27safe12.04–19.8911.75–18.8723.78–38.76safer10.95–20.9810.79–19.8321.73–40.81
Shots in box
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4110.2520.66safe7.47–13.357.57–12.9315.04–26.28safer6.64–14.186.83–13.6713.47–27.85
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.413.718.12safe2.53–6.302.06–5.364.59–11.66safer1.99–6.841.56–5.853.55–12.69
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.615.1810.79safe3.39–7.823.18–7.186.57–15.00safer2.82–8.392.65–7.715.47–16.11
Possession %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction53.8147.07safe47.02–60.6040.28–53.85safer45.35–62.2738.61–55.52
Passes
66%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction478428905safe411–545361–494772–1039safer392–563344–512736–1075
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction69.0970.77safe65.06–73.1266.45–75.10safer63.77–74.4165.14–76.41
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4712.7523.22safe7.64–13.319.80–15.6917.44–29.00safer6.88–14.079.05–16.4415.93–30.51
Offsides
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.083.53safe0.29–2.610.99–3.171.27–5.78safer0.00–2.910.70–3.460.69–6.37
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.113.53safe0.37–2.470.98–3.241.35–5.71safer0.10–2.730.69–3.530.79–6.27
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.493.677.16safe2.06–4.932.11–5.224.17–10.15safer1.67–5.321.69–5.653.35–10.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 0.75–2.68 0.50–2.94 | 1.74 0.88–2.59 0.65–2.82 | 3.45 1.63–5.28 1.15–5.76 | 38% 22% 39% |
| Shots on target | 5.54 3.68–7.40 3.19–7.89 | 5.61 3.87–7.35 3.40–7.82 | 11.15 7.54–14.75 6.59–15.71 | 43% 45% |
| Total shots | 15.96 12.04–19.89 10.95–20.98 | 15.31 11.75–18.87 10.79–19.83 | 31.27 23.78–38.76 21.73–40.81 | 51% 42% |
| Shots in box | 10.41 7.47–13.35 6.64–14.18 | 10.25 7.57–12.93 6.83–13.67 | 20.66 15.04–26.28 13.47–27.85 | 47% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.41 2.53–6.30 1.99–6.84 | 3.71 2.06–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 8.12 4.59–11.66 3.55–12.69 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.61 3.39–7.82 2.82–8.39 | 5.18 3.18–7.18 2.65–7.71 | 10.79 6.57–15.00 5.47–16.11 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 53.81 47.02–60.60 45.35–62.27 | 47.07 40.28–53.85 38.61–55.52 | — | 63% 32% |
| Passes | 478 411–545 392–563 | 428 361–494 344–512 | 905 772–1039 736–1075 | 66% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.09 65.06–73.12 63.77–74.41 | 70.77 66.45–75.10 65.14–76.41 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 10.47 7.64–13.31 6.88–14.07 | 12.75 9.80–15.69 9.05–16.44 | 23.22 17.44–29.00 15.93–30.51 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 2.08 0.99–3.17 0.70–3.46 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.69–6.37 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.10–2.73 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.53 1.35–5.71 0.79–6.27 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.49 2.06–4.93 1.67–5.32 | 3.67 2.11–5.22 1.69–5.65 | 7.16 4.17–10.15 3.35–10.96 | 40% 15% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+