Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.053.48safe0.47–2.401.19–2.901.66–5.30safer0.21–2.650.96–3.131.18–5.78
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.796.0710.86safe2.92–6.654.33–7.827.26–14.47safer2.44–7.143.87–8.286.30–15.42
Total shots
28%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4916.1729.66safe9.57–17.4112.61–19.7422.18–37.15safer8.47–18.5111.65–20.7020.13–39.20
Shots in box
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5511.8321.38safe6.61–12.509.14–14.5115.76–27.00safer5.78–13.338.41–15.2414.19–28.57
Blocked shots
31%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.424.337.76safe1.54–5.312.68–5.984.22–11.29safer1.00–5.852.19–6.483.18–12.33
Corners
31%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction5.006.1611.15safe2.78–7.214.16–8.166.94–15.37safer2.21–7.783.62–8.695.83–16.47
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.6559.54safe33.86–47.4452.75–66.32safer32.19–49.1151.08–67.99
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction380559939safe312–447492–625805–1072safer294–465475–643769–1108
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction63.4176.51safe59.38–67.4472.19–80.83safer58.08–68.7370.88–82.14
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0610.5021.57safe8.22–13.907.56–13.4515.78–27.35safer7.47–14.666.81–14.2014.28–28.85
Offsides
53%
18%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.742.034.77safe1.58–3.900.94–3.132.52–7.02safer1.28–4.200.65–3.411.93–7.61
Yellow cards
34%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.154.01safe0.80–2.901.02–3.281.83–6.18safer0.54–3.170.73–3.571.27–6.74
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.163.147.29safe2.72–5.591.58–4.704.30–10.29safer2.33–5.981.16–5.123.49–11.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.47–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 2.05 1.19–2.90 0.96–3.13 | 3.48 1.66–5.30 1.18–5.78 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.79 2.92–6.65 2.44–7.14 | 6.07 4.33–7.82 3.87–8.28 | 10.86 7.26–14.47 6.30–15.42 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 13.49 9.57–17.41 8.47–18.51 | 16.17 12.61–19.74 11.65–20.70 | 29.66 22.18–37.15 20.13–39.20 | 28% 66% |
| Shots in box | 9.55 6.61–12.50 5.78–13.33 | 11.83 9.14–14.51 8.41–15.24 | 21.38 15.76–27.00 14.19–28.57 | 27% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 3.42 1.54–5.31 1.00–5.85 | 4.33 2.68–5.98 2.19–6.48 | 7.76 4.22–11.29 3.18–12.33 | 31% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 5.00 2.78–7.21 2.21–7.78 | 6.16 4.16–8.16 3.62–8.69 | 11.15 6.94–15.37 5.83–16.47 | 31% 58% |
| Possession % | 40.65 33.86–47.44 32.19–49.11 | 59.54 52.75–66.32 51.08–67.99 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 380 312–447 294–465 | 559 492–625 475–643 | 939 805–1072 769–1108 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.41 59.38–67.44 58.08–68.73 | 76.51 72.19–80.83 70.88–82.14 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.06 8.22–13.90 7.47–14.66 | 10.50 7.56–13.45 6.81–14.20 | 21.57 15.78–27.35 14.28–28.85 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.74 1.58–3.90 1.28–4.20 | 2.03 0.94–3.13 0.65–3.41 | 4.77 2.52–7.02 1.93–7.61 | 53% 18% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 4.01 1.83–6.18 1.27–6.74 | 34% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.16 2.72–5.59 2.33–5.98 | 3.14 1.58–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 7.29 4.30–10.29 3.49–11.10 | 57% 14% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.