Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
17%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.531.153.69safe1.56–3.500.30–2.011.86–5.51safer1.31–3.750.07–2.241.38–5.99
Shots on target
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction7.484.2611.74safe5.62–9.342.52–6.018.14–15.35safer5.13–9.832.06–6.477.18–16.30
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction19.3811.1730.55safe15.46–23.317.60–14.7323.06–38.04safer14.37–24.406.64–15.6921.01–40.09
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction13.707.9121.61safe10.76–16.645.23–10.5915.99–27.24safer9.93–17.474.49–11.3314.42–28.80
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.412.688.10safe3.53–7.291.03–4.344.56–11.63safer2.99–7.840.54–4.833.53–12.67
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.484.1511.63safe5.27–9.692.15–6.157.42–15.85safer4.69–10.271.62–6.696.31–16.95
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.8138.13safe55.02–68.6031.35–44.92safer53.35–70.2729.67–46.59
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction616362978safe549–683295–428844–1111safer531–701278–446808–1147
Pass accuracy %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction76.0367.97safe72.00–80.0663.64–72.29safer70.71–81.3562.33–73.60
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3111.0420.35safe6.47–12.158.09–13.9814.57–26.13safer5.72–12.907.35–14.7313.06–27.64
Offsides
24%
17%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.844.69safe0.69–3.021.74–3.932.44–6.95safer0.39–3.321.46–4.221.85–7.54
Yellow cards
25%
24%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.742.88safe0.09–2.180.62–2.870.70–5.06safer0.00–2.450.32–3.160.14–5.61
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.684.717.39safe1.25–4.123.15–6.264.40–10.38safer0.86–4.512.73–6.693.59–11.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.53 1.56–3.50 1.31–3.75 | 1.15 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 3.69 1.86–5.51 1.38–5.99 | 67% 17% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.48 5.62–9.34 5.13–9.83 | 4.26 2.52–6.01 2.06–6.47 | 11.74 8.14–15.35 7.18–16.30 | 79% 14% |
| Total shots | 19.38 15.46–23.31 14.37–24.40 | 11.17 7.60–14.73 6.64–15.69 | 30.55 23.06–38.04 21.01–40.09 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 13.70 10.76–16.64 9.93–17.47 | 7.91 5.23–10.59 4.49–11.33 | 21.61 15.99–27.24 14.42–28.80 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 5.41 3.53–7.29 2.99–7.84 | 2.68 1.03–4.34 0.54–4.83 | 8.10 4.56–11.63 3.53–12.67 | 78% |
| Corners | 7.48 5.27–9.69 4.69–10.27 | 4.15 2.15–6.15 1.62–6.69 | 11.63 7.42–15.85 6.31–16.95 | 80% |
| Possession % | 61.81 55.02–68.60 53.35–70.27 | 38.13 31.35–44.92 29.67–46.59 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 616 549–683 531–701 | 362 295–428 278–446 | 978 844–1111 808–1147 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.03 72.00–80.06 70.71–81.35 | 67.97 63.64–72.29 62.33–73.60 | — | 84% 13% |
| Fouls | 9.31 6.47–12.15 5.72–12.90 | 11.04 8.09–13.98 7.35–14.73 | 20.35 14.57–26.13 13.06–27.64 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.69–3.02 0.39–3.32 | 2.84 1.74–3.93 1.46–4.22 | 4.69 2.44–6.95 1.85–7.54 | 24% 17% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 1.13 0.09–2.18 0.00–2.45 | 1.74 0.62–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 2.88 0.70–5.06 0.14–5.61 | 25% 24% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.25–4.12 0.86–4.51 | 4.71 3.15–6.26 2.73–6.69 | 7.39 4.40–10.38 3.59–11.19 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.