Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.803.14safe0.37–2.310.95–2.661.32–4.96safer0.12–2.560.72–2.880.84–5.44
Shots on target
35%
13%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.204.869.05safe2.34–6.063.11–6.605.45–12.66safer1.85–6.552.65–7.064.49–13.62
Total shots
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5115.2227.73safe8.59–16.4411.66–18.7820.24–35.22safer7.50–17.5310.70–19.7418.19–37.27
Shots in box
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction7.7610.5918.35safe4.82–10.707.91–13.2712.73–23.97safer3.99–11.537.17–14.0111.16–25.54
Blocked shots
33%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.784.558.33safe1.89–5.662.90–6.214.79–11.86safer1.35–6.202.41–6.703.76–12.90
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.895.3310.21safe2.67–7.103.33–7.336.00–14.43safer2.10–7.672.79–7.864.89–15.53
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.4846.73safe47.69–61.2839.95–53.52safer46.02–62.9438.27–55.19
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction485418903safe418–552352–485770–1037safer400–571334–502734–1073
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction68.0472.82safe64.01–72.0768.50–77.15safer62.72–73.3667.19–78.46
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0511.8021.84safe7.21–12.888.85–14.7416.06–27.62safer6.45–13.648.10–15.4914.55–29.13
Offsides
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.303.78safe0.32–2.641.21–3.391.53–6.03safer0.02–2.940.92–3.680.94–6.62
Yellow cards
28%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.063.57safe0.46–2.560.93–3.191.39–5.75safer0.20–2.830.64–3.480.83–6.30
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.282.956.23safe1.84–4.711.39–4.503.23–9.22safer1.45–5.100.97–4.932.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.80 0.95–2.66 0.72–2.88 | 3.14 1.32–4.96 0.84–5.44 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.20 2.34–6.06 1.85–6.55 | 4.86 3.11–6.60 2.65–7.06 | 9.05 5.45–12.66 4.49–13.62 | 35% 13% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.51 8.59–16.44 7.50–17.53 | 15.22 11.66–18.78 10.70–19.74 | 27.73 20.24–35.22 18.19–37.27 | 27% 66% |
| Shots in box | 7.76 4.82–10.70 3.99–11.53 | 10.59 7.91–13.27 7.17–14.01 | 18.35 12.73–23.97 11.16–25.54 | 22% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.89–5.66 1.35–6.20 | 4.55 2.90–6.21 2.41–6.70 | 8.33 4.79–11.86 3.76–12.90 | 33% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 4.89 2.67–7.10 2.10–7.67 | 5.33 3.33–7.33 2.79–7.86 | 10.21 6.00–14.43 4.89–15.53 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 54.48 47.69–61.28 46.02–62.94 | 46.73 39.95–53.52 38.27–55.19 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 485 418–552 400–571 | 418 352–485 334–502 | 903 770–1037 734–1073 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.04 64.01–72.07 62.72–73.36 | 72.82 68.50–77.15 67.19–78.46 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 10.05 7.21–12.88 6.45–13.64 | 11.80 8.85–14.74 8.10–15.49 | 21.84 16.06–27.62 14.55–29.13 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 2.30 1.21–3.39 0.92–3.68 | 3.78 1.53–6.03 0.94–6.62 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.83–6.30 | 28% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.28 1.84–4.71 1.45–5.10 | 2.95 1.39–4.50 0.97–4.93 | 6.23 3.23–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.