Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.143.06safe0.95–2.890.28–1.991.24–4.88safer0.70–3.140.06–2.220.76–5.36
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.783.819.59safe3.92–7.642.07–5.555.98–13.19safer3.43–8.131.60–6.025.03–14.15
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction18.5210.5629.08safe14.59–22.447.00–14.1221.59–36.57safer13.50–23.536.04–15.0819.54–38.62
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction13.046.9620.00safe10.10–15.984.28–9.6414.38–25.62safer9.27–16.813.54–10.3812.81–27.19
Blocked shots
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.913.288.19safe3.03–6.791.63–4.934.65–11.72safer2.48–7.331.13–5.433.62–12.76
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.344.1610.51safe4.13–8.562.16–6.166.29–14.72safer3.56–9.131.63–6.705.19–15.83
Possession %
42%
54%
homeawayprediction49.2451.77safe42.45–56.0344.99–58.56safer40.78–57.7043.32–60.23
Passes
43%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction436456892safe369–503390–523759–1026safer351–521372–540723–1062
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction71.8372.65safe67.80–75.8668.32–76.97safer66.51–77.1567.01–78.28
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5210.5622.08safe8.68–14.367.62–13.5116.30–27.86safer7.93–15.126.87–14.2514.80–29.37
Offsides
60%
19%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.301.283.58safe1.14–3.460.18–2.371.33–5.83safer0.84–3.770.00–2.660.74–6.42
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.763.29safe0.48–2.580.63–2.891.11–5.47safer0.21–2.840.34–3.180.55–6.02
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.493.826.31safe1.06–3.932.26–5.373.32–9.30safer0.67–4.321.84–5.802.51–10.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 0.95–2.89 0.70–3.14 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.06–2.22 | 3.06 1.24–4.88 0.76–5.36 | 56% 22% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.78 3.92–7.64 3.43–8.13 | 3.81 2.07–5.55 1.60–6.02 | 9.59 5.98–13.19 5.03–14.15 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 18.52 14.59–22.44 13.50–23.53 | 10.56 7.00–14.12 6.04–15.08 | 29.08 21.59–36.57 19.54–38.62 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 13.04 10.10–15.98 9.27–16.81 | 6.96 4.28–9.64 3.54–10.38 | 20.00 14.38–25.62 12.81–27.19 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.91 3.03–6.79 2.48–7.33 | 3.28 1.63–4.93 1.13–5.43 | 8.19 4.65–11.72 3.62–12.76 | 65% 23% |
| Corners | 6.34 4.13–8.56 3.56–9.13 | 4.16 2.16–6.16 1.63–6.70 | 10.51 6.29–14.72 5.19–15.83 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 49.24 42.45–56.03 40.78–57.70 | 51.77 44.99–58.56 43.32–60.23 | — | 42% 54% |
| Passes | 436 369–503 351–521 | 456 390–523 372–540 | 892 759–1026 723–1062 | 43% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.83 67.80–75.86 66.51–77.15 | 72.65 68.32–76.97 67.01–78.28 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.52 8.68–14.36 7.93–15.12 | 10.56 7.62–13.51 6.87–14.25 | 22.08 16.30–27.86 14.80–29.37 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.30 1.14–3.46 0.84–3.77 | 1.28 0.18–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 3.58 1.33–5.83 0.74–6.42 | 60% 19% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.84 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.29 1.11–5.47 0.55–6.02 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 3.82 2.26–5.37 1.84–5.80 | 6.31 3.32–9.30 2.51–10.11 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.