Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.520.943.46safe1.55–3.480.09–1.791.63–5.28safer1.30–3.730.00–2.021.15–5.76
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.313.5710.88safe5.45–9.181.83–5.317.28–14.49safer4.96–9.671.36–5.786.32–15.44
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction20.809.7030.50safe16.88–24.736.14–13.2623.02–37.99safer15.79–25.825.18–14.2220.97–40.04
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction14.796.2921.08safe11.85–17.733.61–8.9715.46–26.70safer11.02–18.562.87–9.7113.89–28.27
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.982.328.29safe4.10–7.860.66–3.974.76–11.83safer3.55–8.400.17–4.463.72–12.87
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction8.073.3511.42safe5.85–10.281.35–5.357.20–15.63safer5.28–10.850.82–5.886.09–16.74
Possession %
80%
16%
homeawayprediction57.8042.27safe51.01–64.5935.48–49.05safer49.34–66.2633.81–50.72
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction561406967safe494–628340–472833–1101safer476–646322–490798–1136
Pass accuracy %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction77.8973.12safe73.86–81.9268.80–77.45safer72.57–83.2167.49–78.76
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3510.1320.48safe7.52–13.197.18–13.0714.70–26.26safer6.76–13.956.44–13.8213.20–27.77
Offsides
53%
19%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.451.784.23safe1.29–3.610.69–2.871.98–6.49safer0.99–3.920.40–3.161.39–7.08
Yellow cards
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.702.99safe0.24–2.340.57–2.830.81–5.16safer0.00–2.610.28–3.120.25–5.72
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.424.817.22safe0.98–3.853.25–6.364.23–10.21safer0.59–4.242.82–6.793.42–11.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.52 1.55–3.48 1.30–3.73 | 0.94 0.09–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 3.46 1.63–5.28 1.15–5.76 | 72% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.31 5.45–9.18 4.96–9.67 | 3.57 1.83–5.31 1.36–5.78 | 10.88 7.28–14.49 6.32–15.44 | 84% |
| Total shots | 20.80 16.88–24.73 15.79–25.82 | 9.70 6.14–13.26 5.18–14.22 | 30.50 23.02–37.99 20.97–40.04 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 14.79 11.85–17.73 11.02–18.56 | 6.29 3.61–8.97 2.87–9.71 | 21.08 15.46–26.70 13.89–28.27 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.98 4.10–7.86 3.55–8.40 | 2.32 0.66–3.97 0.17–4.46 | 8.29 4.76–11.83 3.72–12.87 | 87% |
| Corners | 8.07 5.85–10.28 5.28–10.85 | 3.35 1.35–5.35 0.82–5.88 | 11.42 7.20–15.63 6.09–16.74 | 90% |
| Possession % | 57.80 51.01–64.59 49.34–66.26 | 42.27 35.48–49.05 33.81–50.72 | — | 80% 16% |
| Passes | 561 494–628 476–646 | 406 340–472 322–490 | 967 833–1101 798–1136 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.89 73.86–81.92 72.57–83.21 | 73.12 68.80–77.45 67.49–78.76 | — | 71% 25% |
| Fouls | 10.35 7.52–13.19 6.76–13.95 | 10.13 7.18–13.07 6.44–13.82 | 20.48 14.70–26.26 13.20–27.77 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 2.45 1.29–3.61 0.99–3.92 | 1.78 0.69–2.87 0.40–3.16 | 4.23 1.98–6.49 1.39–7.08 | 53% 19% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 2.99 0.81–5.16 0.25–5.72 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 4.81 3.25–6.36 2.82–6.79 | 7.22 4.23–10.21 3.42–11.03 | 14% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.