Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
19%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.182.363.54safe0.21–2.151.50–3.211.72–5.36safer0.00–2.401.28–3.441.24–5.84
Shots on target
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction4.016.3210.33safe2.15–5.874.58–8.066.72–13.93safer1.66–6.364.11–8.535.77–14.89
Total shots
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9217.1629.08safe8.00–15.8513.60–20.7221.59–36.57safer6.91–16.9412.64–21.6819.54–38.62
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.1511.6718.82safe4.21–10.098.99–14.3513.20–24.45safer3.38–10.928.25–15.0911.63–26.01
Blocked shots
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.165.038.20safe1.28–5.053.38–6.694.66–11.73safer0.74–5.592.89–7.183.63–12.77
Corners
24%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.226.0110.24safe2.01–6.444.01–8.016.02–14.45safer1.44–7.013.48–8.544.91–15.56
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction45.2755.75safe38.48–52.0648.97–62.54safer36.81–53.7347.29–64.21
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction441539980safe374–509472–605846–1114safer356–527455–623811–1149
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction69.1276.76safe65.09–73.1572.43–81.08safer63.80–74.4571.12–82.39
Fouls
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.5710.6820.25safe6.73–12.417.74–13.6314.47–26.03safer5.98–13.166.99–14.3712.96–27.54
Offsides
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.772.464.24safe0.61–2.931.37–3.561.99–6.49safer0.31–3.241.08–3.851.40–7.08
Yellow cards
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.713.06safe0.30–2.400.58–2.840.88–5.24safer0.04–2.670.29–3.130.32–5.79
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.962.796.75safe2.52–5.401.23–4.353.76–9.74safer2.14–5.780.81–4.772.95–10.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 2.36 1.50–3.21 1.28–3.44 | 3.54 1.72–5.36 1.24–5.84 | 18% 19% 64% |
| Shots on target | 4.01 2.15–5.87 1.66–6.36 | 6.32 4.58–8.06 4.11–8.53 | 10.33 6.72–13.93 5.77–14.89 | 19% 71% |
| Total shots | 11.92 8.00–15.85 6.91–16.94 | 17.16 13.60–20.72 12.64–21.68 | 29.08 21.59–36.57 19.54–38.62 | 14% 81% |
| Shots in box | 7.15 4.21–10.09 3.38–10.92 | 11.67 8.99–14.35 8.25–15.09 | 18.82 13.20–24.45 11.63–26.01 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.16 1.28–5.05 0.74–5.59 | 5.03 3.38–6.69 2.89–7.18 | 8.20 4.66–11.73 3.63–12.77 | 20% 68% |
| Corners | 4.22 2.01–6.44 1.44–7.01 | 6.01 4.01–8.01 3.48–8.54 | 10.24 6.02–14.45 4.91–15.56 | 24% 66% |
| Possession % | 45.27 38.48–52.06 36.81–53.73 | 55.75 48.97–62.54 47.29–64.21 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 441 374–509 356–527 | 539 472–605 455–623 | 980 846–1114 811–1149 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.12 65.09–73.15 63.80–74.45 | 76.76 72.43–81.08 71.12–82.39 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 9.57 6.73–12.41 5.98–13.16 | 10.68 7.74–13.63 6.99–14.37 | 20.25 14.47–26.03 12.96–27.54 | 36% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.24 | 2.46 1.37–3.56 1.08–3.85 | 4.24 1.99–6.49 1.40–7.08 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.04–2.67 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.06 0.88–5.24 0.32–5.79 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.96 2.52–5.40 2.14–5.78 | 2.79 1.23–4.35 0.81–4.77 | 6.75 3.76–9.74 2.95–10.55 | 60% 14% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.