Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
20%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.271.313.58safe1.30–3.240.46–2.171.76–5.41safer1.05–3.490.23–2.401.28–5.89
Shots on target
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction7.094.2711.36safe5.23–8.952.52–6.017.75–14.96safer4.74–9.442.06–6.486.80–15.92
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction20.2911.4431.73safe16.36–24.217.88–15.0124.24–39.22safer15.27–25.306.92–15.9622.19–41.27
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction14.298.2622.55safe11.35–17.235.58–10.9416.92–28.17safer10.52–18.064.84–11.6815.36–29.74
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.702.788.48safe3.82–7.581.13–4.434.95–12.02safer3.28–8.130.64–4.933.91–13.05
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.584.0411.61safe5.36–9.792.04–6.047.40–15.82safer4.79–10.361.50–6.576.29–16.93
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.2339.14safe53.44–67.0232.36–45.93safer51.77–68.6930.69–47.60
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction576377953safe509–643311–444820–1087safer490–661293–461784–1123
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction74.9868.39safe70.95–79.0164.07–72.72safer69.66–80.3062.76–74.03
Fouls
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6111.4521.07safe6.78–12.458.51–14.4015.28–26.85safer6.02–13.217.76–15.1513.78–28.35
Offsides
22%
17%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.772.864.63safe0.61–2.931.77–3.952.38–6.88safer0.31–3.231.48–4.241.79–7.47
Yellow cards
23%
22%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.923.09safe0.12–2.220.80–3.050.92–5.27safer0.00–2.490.50–3.340.36–5.83
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.814.737.54safe1.37–4.243.18–6.294.55–10.53safer0.98–4.632.75–6.723.74–11.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.27 1.30–3.24 1.05–3.49 | 1.31 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 3.58 1.76–5.41 1.28–5.89 | 59% 20% 21% |
| Shots on target | 7.09 5.23–8.95 4.74–9.44 | 4.27 2.52–6.01 2.06–6.48 | 11.36 7.75–14.96 6.80–15.92 | 76% 16% |
| Total shots | 20.29 16.36–24.21 15.27–25.30 | 11.44 7.88–15.01 6.92–15.96 | 31.73 24.24–39.22 22.19–41.27 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 14.29 11.35–17.23 10.52–18.06 | 8.26 5.58–10.94 4.84–11.68 | 22.55 16.92–28.17 15.36–29.74 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 5.70 3.82–7.58 3.28–8.13 | 2.78 1.13–4.43 0.64–4.93 | 8.48 4.95–12.02 3.91–13.05 | 80% |
| Corners | 7.58 5.36–9.79 4.79–10.36 | 4.04 2.04–6.04 1.50–6.57 | 11.61 7.40–15.82 6.29–16.93 | 82% |
| Possession % | 60.23 53.44–67.02 51.77–68.69 | 39.14 32.36–45.93 30.69–47.60 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 576 509–643 490–661 | 377 311–444 293–461 | 953 820–1087 784–1123 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.98 70.95–79.01 69.66–80.30 | 68.39 64.07–72.72 62.76–74.03 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 9.61 6.78–12.45 6.02–13.21 | 11.45 8.51–14.40 7.76–15.15 | 21.07 15.28–26.85 13.78–28.35 | 30% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 2.86 1.77–3.95 1.48–4.24 | 4.63 2.38–6.88 1.79–7.47 | 22% 17% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 1.17 0.12–2.22 0.00–2.49 | 1.92 0.80–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.09 0.92–5.27 0.36–5.83 | 23% 22% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 4.73 3.18–6.29 2.75–6.72 | 7.54 4.55–10.53 3.74–11.35 | 18% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.