Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.073.46safe0.43–2.361.21–2.921.64–5.29safer0.18–2.620.98–3.151.16–5.77
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.666.5711.23safe2.79–6.524.83–8.327.62–14.83safer2.30–7.014.36–8.786.67–15.79
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7817.3831.17safe9.86–17.7113.82–20.9523.68–38.65safer8.77–18.8012.86–21.9121.63–40.70
Shots in box
20%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0312.3421.37safe6.09–11.979.66–15.0215.75–26.99safer5.26–12.808.92–15.7614.18–28.56
Blocked shots
26%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.404.718.11safe1.52–5.283.06–6.374.58–11.65safer0.97–5.822.57–6.863.54–12.68
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.975.7510.72safe2.75–7.183.75–7.756.50–14.93safer2.18–7.753.22–8.285.40–16.04
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.3258.27safe35.53–49.1151.49–65.06safer33.86–50.7849.82–66.73
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction392528920safe324–459462–595786–1054safer306–477444–612751–1089
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction65.0676.93safe61.03–69.0972.61–81.26safer59.74–70.3871.30–82.57
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6810.1721.85safe8.84–14.527.23–13.1216.07–27.63safer8.09–15.276.48–13.8714.57–29.14
Offsides
60%
17%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.901.834.74safe1.74–4.060.74–2.932.48–6.99safer1.44–4.370.45–3.211.89–7.58
Yellow cards
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.673.15safe0.43–2.530.55–2.800.97–5.33safer0.16–2.790.25–3.090.42–5.89
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.173.147.31safe2.73–5.601.58–4.704.32–10.30safer2.34–5.991.16–5.123.50–11.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.36 0.18–2.62 | 2.07 1.21–2.92 0.98–3.15 | 3.46 1.64–5.29 1.16–5.77 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Shots on target | 4.66 2.79–6.52 2.30–7.01 | 6.57 4.83–8.32 4.36–8.78 | 11.23 7.62–14.83 6.67–15.79 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 13.78 9.86–17.71 8.77–18.80 | 17.38 13.82–20.95 12.86–21.91 | 31.17 23.68–38.65 21.63–40.70 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 9.03 6.09–11.97 5.26–12.80 | 12.34 9.66–15.02 8.92–15.76 | 21.37 15.75–26.99 14.18–28.56 | 20% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 3.40 1.52–5.28 0.97–5.82 | 4.71 3.06–6.37 2.57–6.86 | 8.11 4.58–11.65 3.54–12.68 | 26% 61% |
| Corners | 4.97 2.75–7.18 2.18–7.75 | 5.75 3.75–7.75 3.22–8.28 | 10.72 6.50–14.93 5.40–16.04 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 42.32 35.53–49.11 33.86–50.78 | 58.27 51.49–65.06 49.82–66.73 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 392 324–459 306–477 | 528 462–595 444–612 | 920 786–1054 751–1089 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.06 61.03–69.09 59.74–70.38 | 76.93 72.61–81.26 71.30–82.57 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.68 8.84–14.52 8.09–15.27 | 10.17 7.23–13.12 6.48–13.87 | 21.85 16.07–27.63 14.57–29.14 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.90 1.74–4.06 1.44–4.37 | 1.83 0.74–2.93 0.45–3.21 | 4.74 2.48–6.99 1.89–7.58 | 60% 17% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 1.67 0.55–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.15 0.97–5.33 0.42–5.89 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 4.17 2.73–5.60 2.34–5.99 | 3.14 1.58–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 7.31 4.32–10.30 3.50–11.11 | 58% 14% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+