Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
19%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.223.50safe1.32–3.250.36–2.071.68–5.33safer1.06–3.500.14–2.301.20–5.80
Shots on target
71%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.504.2310.73safe4.64–8.362.49–5.977.12–14.33safer4.15–8.852.02–6.446.17–15.29
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction18.3811.2929.67safe14.45–22.307.73–14.8522.18–37.16safer13.36–23.406.77–15.8120.13–39.21
Shots in box
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction12.258.2520.50safe9.31–15.195.57–10.9314.88–26.13safer8.48–16.024.83–11.6713.31–27.69
Blocked shots
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.013.448.46safe3.13–6.891.79–5.104.92–11.99safer2.59–7.441.30–5.593.88–13.03
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.243.8010.04safe4.03–8.461.80–5.805.83–14.26safer3.46–9.031.27–6.334.72–15.36
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction57.4243.39safe50.63–64.2136.61–50.18safer48.96–65.8834.94–51.85
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction565426992safe498–633360–493858–1125safer480–651342–510822–1161
Pass accuracy %
54%
40%
homeawayprediction73.1571.78safe69.12–77.1867.46–76.11safer67.83–78.4766.15–77.42
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6612.2922.95safe7.82–13.509.35–15.2417.17–28.74safer7.07–14.268.60–15.9915.67–30.24
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.563.07safe0.35–2.670.47–2.660.82–5.33safer0.05–2.970.18–2.950.23–5.92
Yellow cards
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.382.093.48safe0.33–2.430.96–3.221.30–5.66safer0.07–2.700.67–3.510.74–6.21
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
21%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.834.467.29safe1.39–4.272.90–6.024.30–10.28safer1.01–4.652.48–6.443.49–11.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.28 1.32–3.25 1.06–3.50 | 1.22 0.36–2.07 0.14–2.30 | 3.50 1.68–5.33 1.20–5.80 | 61% 19% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.50 4.64–8.36 4.15–8.85 | 4.23 2.49–5.97 2.02–6.44 | 10.73 7.12–14.33 6.17–15.29 | 71% 20% |
| Total shots | 18.38 14.45–22.30 13.36–23.40 | 11.29 7.73–14.85 6.77–15.81 | 29.67 22.18–37.16 20.13–39.21 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 12.25 9.31–15.19 8.48–16.02 | 8.25 5.57–10.93 4.83–11.67 | 20.50 14.88–26.13 13.31–27.69 | 78% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 5.01 3.13–6.89 2.59–7.44 | 3.44 1.79–5.10 1.30–5.59 | 8.46 4.92–11.99 3.88–13.03 | 64% 24% |
| Corners | 6.24 4.03–8.46 3.46–9.03 | 3.80 1.80–5.80 1.27–6.33 | 10.04 5.83–14.26 4.72–15.36 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 57.42 50.63–64.21 48.96–65.88 | 43.39 36.61–50.18 34.94–51.85 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 565 498–633 480–651 | 426 360–493 342–510 | 992 858–1125 822–1161 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.15 69.12–77.18 67.83–78.47 | 71.78 67.46–76.11 66.15–77.42 | — | 54% 40% |
| Fouls | 10.66 7.82–13.50 7.07–14.26 | 12.29 9.35–15.24 8.60–15.99 | 22.95 17.17–28.74 15.67–30.24 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.56 0.47–2.66 0.18–2.95 | 3.07 0.82–5.33 0.23–5.92 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.07–2.70 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.21 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.27 1.01–4.65 | 4.46 2.90–6.02 2.48–6.44 | 7.29 4.30–10.28 3.49–11.09 | 21% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.