Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.043.58safe0.57–2.511.19–2.901.76–5.41safer0.32–2.760.96–3.131.28–5.89
Shots on target
30%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.685.9110.60safe2.82–6.554.17–7.666.99–14.20safer2.33–7.043.70–8.126.04–15.16
Total shots
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4515.5830.03safe10.53–18.3812.01–19.1422.54–37.52safer9.44–19.4711.05–20.1020.49–39.57
Shots in box
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4411.1120.55safe6.50–12.398.43–13.7914.93–26.17safer5.67–13.217.69–14.5313.36–27.74
Blocked shots
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.084.298.37safe2.20–5.972.64–5.944.84–11.91safer1.66–6.512.14–6.433.80–12.94
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.855.6810.53safe2.64–7.063.68–7.686.32–14.74safer2.06–7.643.15–8.215.21–15.85
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.6554.88safe38.86–52.4448.09–61.66safer37.19–54.1146.42–63.33
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction453526979safe386–520460–593845–1113safer368–538442–610810–1148
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction68.2776.65safe64.24–72.3072.32–80.97safer62.95–73.5971.02–82.28
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0710.5022.57safe9.23–14.917.56–13.4516.79–28.35safer8.48–15.666.81–14.1915.29–29.86
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.543.15safe0.44–2.760.45–2.640.89–5.40safer0.14–3.060.16–2.930.31–5.99
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.683.19safe0.46–2.560.55–2.811.01–5.37safer0.19–2.830.26–3.100.45–5.93
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.903.237.13safe2.46–5.331.67–4.794.13–10.12safer2.07–5.721.25–5.213.32–10.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.57–2.51 0.32–2.76 | 2.04 1.19–2.90 0.96–3.13 | 3.58 1.76–5.41 1.28–5.89 | 29% 21% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.68 2.82–6.55 2.33–7.04 | 5.91 4.17–7.66 3.70–8.12 | 10.60 6.99–14.20 6.04–15.16 | 30% 59% |
| Total shots | 14.45 10.53–18.38 9.44–19.47 | 15.58 12.01–19.14 11.05–20.10 | 30.03 22.54–37.52 20.49–39.57 | 38% 55% |
| Shots in box | 9.44 6.50–12.39 5.67–13.21 | 11.11 8.43–13.79 7.69–14.53 | 20.55 14.93–26.17 13.36–27.74 | 32% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.20–5.97 1.66–6.51 | 4.29 2.64–5.94 2.14–6.43 | 8.37 4.84–11.91 3.80–12.94 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 4.85 2.64–7.06 2.06–7.64 | 5.68 3.68–7.68 3.15–8.21 | 10.53 6.32–14.74 5.21–15.85 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 45.65 38.86–52.44 37.19–54.11 | 54.88 48.09–61.66 46.42–63.33 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 453 386–520 368–538 | 526 460–593 442–610 | 979 845–1113 810–1148 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.27 64.24–72.30 62.95–73.59 | 76.65 72.32–80.97 71.02–82.28 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.07 9.23–14.91 8.48–15.66 | 10.50 7.56–13.45 6.81–14.19 | 22.57 16.79–28.35 15.29–29.86 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.54 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.93 | 3.15 0.89–5.40 0.31–5.99 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.83 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.19 1.01–5.37 0.45–5.93 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.90 2.46–5.33 2.07–5.72 | 3.23 1.67–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 7.13 4.13–10.12 3.32–10.93 | 52% 15% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.