Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
17%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.531.103.62safe1.56–3.500.24–1.951.80–5.45safer1.31–3.750.01–2.181.32–5.92
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction7.103.8110.91safe5.24–8.962.07–5.557.30–14.51safer4.75–9.451.60–6.026.35–15.47
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction19.3610.2729.63safe15.44–23.286.71–13.8422.15–37.12safer14.34–24.385.75–14.8020.10–39.17
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction13.437.1420.57safe10.48–16.374.46–9.8314.95–26.19safer9.66–17.203.73–10.5613.38–27.76
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.502.958.45safe3.62–7.381.29–4.604.91–11.98safer3.07–7.920.80–5.093.87–13.02
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.953.8910.84safe4.74–9.161.89–5.896.62–15.05safer4.16–9.741.35–6.425.52–16.16
Possession %
83%
15%
homeawayprediction58.4341.57safe51.64–65.2234.78–48.35safer49.97–66.8933.11–50.02
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction519373892safe452–586307–440758–1026safer433–604289–457723–1061
Pass accuracy %
81%
15%
homeawayprediction73.1665.72safe69.13–77.1961.39–70.04safer67.84–78.4860.09–71.35
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9411.2523.19safe9.10–14.778.30–14.1917.40–28.97safer8.34–15.537.55–14.9415.90–30.47
Offsides
53%
21%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.533.71safe1.02–3.340.44–2.621.46–5.97safer0.72–3.650.15–2.910.87–6.56
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.973.55safe0.53–2.630.84–3.101.37–5.72safer0.26–2.890.55–3.390.81–6.28
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.514.587.09safe1.08–3.953.02–6.134.10–10.08safer0.69–4.342.60–6.563.29–10.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.53 1.56–3.50 1.31–3.75 | 1.10 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.18 | 3.62 1.80–5.45 1.32–5.92 | 68% 17% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.10 5.24–8.96 4.75–9.45 | 3.81 2.07–5.55 1.60–6.02 | 10.91 7.30–14.51 6.35–15.47 | 80% |
| Total shots | 19.36 15.44–23.28 14.34–24.38 | 10.27 6.71–13.84 5.75–14.80 | 29.63 22.15–37.12 20.10–39.17 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 13.43 10.48–16.37 9.66–17.20 | 7.14 4.46–9.83 3.73–10.56 | 20.57 14.95–26.19 13.38–27.76 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 5.50 3.62–7.38 3.07–7.92 | 2.95 1.29–4.60 0.80–5.09 | 8.45 4.91–11.98 3.87–13.02 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.95 4.74–9.16 4.16–9.74 | 3.89 1.89–5.89 1.35–6.42 | 10.84 6.62–15.05 5.52–16.16 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 58.43 51.64–65.22 49.97–66.89 | 41.57 34.78–48.35 33.11–50.02 | — | 83% 15% |
| Passes | 519 452–586 433–604 | 373 307–440 289–457 | 892 758–1026 723–1061 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.16 69.13–77.19 67.84–78.48 | 65.72 61.39–70.04 60.09–71.35 | — | 81% 15% |
| Fouls | 11.94 9.10–14.77 8.34–15.53 | 11.25 8.30–14.19 7.55–14.94 | 23.19 17.40–28.97 15.90–30.47 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 2.18 1.02–3.34 0.72–3.65 | 1.53 0.44–2.62 0.15–2.91 | 3.71 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 53% 21% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.26–2.89 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.55 1.37–5.72 0.81–6.28 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 4.58 3.02–6.13 2.60–6.56 | 7.09 4.10–10.08 3.29–10.90 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.