Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.973.30safe0.36–2.301.12–2.831.48–5.12safer0.11–2.550.89–3.061.00–5.60
Shots on target
27%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.455.9210.38safe2.59–6.314.18–7.676.77–13.98safer2.10–6.803.72–8.135.82–14.94
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8017.0429.83safe8.87–16.7213.47–20.6022.34–37.32safer7.78–17.8112.51–21.5620.29–39.37
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5112.2520.76safe5.57–11.459.57–14.9315.14–26.38safer4.74–12.288.83–15.6713.57–27.95
Blocked shots
34%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.664.348.01safe1.78–5.542.69–6.004.47–11.54safer1.24–6.092.20–6.493.44–12.58
Corners
31%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.986.1311.10safe2.77–7.194.13–8.136.89–15.32safer2.19–7.773.59–8.665.78–16.43
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.4654.98safe38.67–52.2548.19–61.76safer37.00–53.9246.52–63.43
Passes
22%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction396487883safe328–463421–554749–1016safer310–481403–571713–1052
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction61.5272.64safe57.49–65.5568.32–76.96safer56.20–66.8567.01–78.27
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5613.5224.08safe7.72–13.4010.57–16.4618.30–29.86safer6.97–14.169.82–17.2116.79–31.36
Offsides
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.303.86safe0.40–2.731.21–3.391.61–6.12safer0.10–3.030.92–3.681.02–6.71
Yellow cards
27%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.213.77safe0.51–2.611.08–3.341.59–5.95safer0.25–2.880.79–3.631.04–6.51
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
58%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.992.926.91safe2.55–5.431.37–4.483.92–9.90safer2.17–5.810.94–4.903.11–10.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.97 1.12–2.83 0.89–3.06 | 3.30 1.48–5.12 1.00–5.60 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.45 2.59–6.31 2.10–6.80 | 5.92 4.18–7.67 3.72–8.13 | 10.38 6.77–13.98 5.82–14.94 | 27% 62% |
| Total shots | 12.80 8.87–16.72 7.78–17.81 | 17.04 13.47–20.60 12.51–21.56 | 29.83 22.34–37.32 20.29–39.37 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 8.51 5.57–11.45 4.74–12.28 | 12.25 9.57–14.93 8.83–15.67 | 20.76 15.14–26.38 13.57–27.95 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.78–5.54 1.24–6.09 | 4.34 2.69–6.00 2.20–6.49 | 8.01 4.47–11.54 3.44–12.58 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Corners | 4.98 2.77–7.19 2.19–7.77 | 6.13 4.13–8.13 3.59–8.66 | 11.10 6.89–15.32 5.78–16.43 | 31% 58% |
| Possession % | 45.46 38.67–52.25 37.00–53.92 | 54.98 48.19–61.76 46.52–63.43 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 396 328–463 310–481 | 487 421–554 403–571 | 883 749–1016 713–1052 | 22% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.52 57.49–65.55 56.20–66.85 | 72.64 68.32–76.96 67.01–78.27 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 10.56 7.72–13.40 6.97–14.16 | 13.52 10.57–16.46 9.82–17.21 | 24.08 18.30–29.86 16.79–31.36 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.73 0.10–3.03 | 2.30 1.21–3.39 0.92–3.68 | 3.86 1.61–6.12 1.02–6.71 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.04–6.51 | 27% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.99 2.55–5.43 2.17–5.81 | 2.92 1.37–4.48 0.94–4.90 | 6.91 3.92–9.90 3.11–10.72 | 58% 14% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.