Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.290.863.15safe1.32–3.260.00–1.711.32–4.97safer1.07–3.510.00–1.940.84–5.45
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.773.189.95safe4.90–8.631.44–4.926.34–13.55safer4.41–9.120.97–5.395.39–14.51
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.769.0427.80safe14.83–22.685.48–12.6120.31–35.29safer13.74–23.774.52–13.5618.26–37.34
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.785.7618.54safe9.84–15.723.07–8.4412.91–24.16safer9.01–16.552.34–9.1711.35–25.73
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.782.408.18safe3.90–7.660.75–4.064.65–11.72safer3.35–8.200.26–4.553.61–12.75
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.683.0010.68safe5.47–9.891.00–5.006.47–14.89safer4.89–10.470.47–5.535.36–16.00
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.8439.00safe54.05–67.6432.21–45.78safer52.38–69.3030.54–47.45
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction557357914safe490–624291–423780–1048safer472–642273–441744–1083
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction75.9467.04safe71.91–79.9762.72–71.37safer70.61–81.2661.41–72.67
Fouls
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9113.5623.47safe7.08–12.7510.61–16.5017.69–29.25safer6.32–13.519.86–17.2516.18–30.76
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.603.40safe0.64–2.960.50–2.691.14–5.65safer0.34–3.260.21–2.980.55–6.24
Yellow cards
13%
16%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.092.683.78safe0.05–2.141.55–3.811.60–5.95safer0.00–2.411.26–4.101.04–6.51
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.130.17safe0.00–0.200.00–0.320.00–0.51safer0.00–0.350.00–0.450.00–0.80
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.264.376.62safe0.82–3.692.81–5.933.63–9.62safer0.43–4.082.39–6.352.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.29 1.32–3.26 1.07–3.51 | 0.86 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 3.15 1.32–4.97 0.84–5.45 | 70% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.77 4.90–8.63 4.41–9.12 | 3.18 1.44–4.92 0.97–5.39 | 9.95 6.34–13.55 5.39–14.51 | 84% |
| Total shots | 18.76 14.83–22.68 13.74–23.77 | 9.04 5.48–12.61 4.52–13.56 | 27.80 20.31–35.29 18.26–37.34 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.78 9.84–15.72 9.01–16.55 | 5.76 3.07–8.44 2.34–9.17 | 18.54 12.91–24.16 11.35–25.73 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.78 3.90–7.66 3.35–8.20 | 2.40 0.75–4.06 0.26–4.55 | 8.18 4.65–11.72 3.61–12.75 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.68 5.47–9.89 4.89–10.47 | 3.00 1.00–5.00 0.47–5.53 | 10.68 6.47–14.89 5.36–16.00 | 90% |
| Possession % | 60.84 54.05–67.64 52.38–69.30 | 39.00 32.21–45.78 30.54–47.45 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 557 490–624 472–642 | 357 291–423 273–441 | 914 780–1048 744–1083 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.94 71.91–79.97 70.61–81.26 | 67.04 62.72–71.37 61.41–72.67 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 9.91 7.08–12.75 6.32–13.51 | 13.56 10.61–16.50 9.86–17.25 | 23.47 17.69–29.25 16.18–30.76 | 20% 74% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.60 0.50–2.69 0.21–2.98 | 3.40 1.14–5.65 0.55–6.24 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.09 0.05–2.14 0.00–2.41 | 2.68 1.55–3.81 1.26–4.10 | 3.78 1.60–5.95 1.04–6.51 | 13% 16% 71% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.82–3.69 0.43–4.08 | 4.37 2.81–5.93 2.39–6.35 | 6.62 3.63–9.62 2.82–10.43 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.