Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
18%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.042.393.43safe0.07–2.011.54–3.251.61–5.25safer0.00–2.261.31–3.471.13–5.73
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.626.8210.45safe1.76–5.495.08–8.576.84–14.05safer1.27–5.984.61–9.035.89–15.01
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4117.0028.41safe7.48–15.3313.44–20.5620.92–35.90safer6.39–16.4212.48–21.5218.87–37.95
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.5512.8820.43safe4.61–10.4910.20–15.5614.80–26.05safer3.78–11.329.46–16.3013.24–27.62
Blocked shots
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.344.918.25safe1.45–5.223.26–6.574.72–11.79safer0.91–5.762.77–7.063.68–12.82
Corners
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.806.179.97safe1.59–6.024.17–8.175.76–14.19safer1.02–6.593.64–8.704.65–15.29
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction42.0558.56safe35.26–48.8551.77–65.34safer33.59–50.5150.10–67.01
Passes
15%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction375498872safe307–442431–564739–1006safer289–460414–582703–1042
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction64.7975.26safe60.76–68.8270.93–79.58safer59.47–70.1169.62–80.89
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6310.2222.85safe9.79–15.477.27–13.1617.06–28.63safer9.03–16.226.53–13.9115.56–30.13
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.753.45safe0.53–2.850.66–2.841.19–5.70safer0.23–3.160.37–3.130.60–6.29
Yellow cards
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.403.45safe1.00–3.100.27–2.531.27–5.63safer0.74–3.370.00–2.820.72–6.19
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.080.20safe0.00–0.280.00–0.270.00–0.55safer0.00–0.430.00–0.400.00–0.83
GK saves
65%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.002.506.50safe2.56–5.430.94–4.063.50–9.49safer2.17–5.820.52–4.482.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 2.39 1.54–3.25 1.31–3.47 | 3.43 1.61–5.25 1.13–5.73 | 15% 18% 67% |
| Shots on target | 3.62 1.76–5.49 1.27–5.98 | 6.82 5.08–8.57 4.61–9.03 | 10.45 6.84–14.05 5.89–15.01 | 80% |
| Total shots | 11.41 7.48–15.33 6.39–16.42 | 17.00 13.44–20.56 12.48–21.52 | 28.41 20.92–35.90 18.87–37.95 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 7.55 4.61–10.49 3.78–11.32 | 12.88 10.20–15.56 9.46–16.30 | 20.43 14.80–26.05 13.24–27.62 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 3.34 1.45–5.22 0.91–5.76 | 4.91 3.26–6.57 2.77–7.06 | 8.25 4.72–11.79 3.68–12.82 | 23% 65% |
| Corners | 3.80 1.59–6.02 1.02–6.59 | 6.17 4.17–8.17 3.64–8.70 | 9.97 5.76–14.19 4.65–15.29 | 18% 72% |
| Possession % | 42.05 35.26–48.85 33.59–50.51 | 58.56 51.77–65.34 50.10–67.01 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 375 307–442 289–460 | 498 431–564 414–582 | 872 739–1006 703–1042 | 15% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.79 60.76–68.82 59.47–70.11 | 75.26 70.93–79.58 69.62–80.89 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 12.63 9.79–15.47 9.03–16.22 | 10.22 7.27–13.16 6.53–13.91 | 22.85 17.06–28.63 15.56–30.13 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.16 | 1.75 0.66–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.45 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.29 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.74–3.37 | 1.40 0.27–2.53 0.00–2.82 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.00 2.56–5.43 2.17–5.82 | 2.50 0.94–4.06 0.52–4.48 | 6.50 3.50–9.49 2.69–10.30 | 65% 14% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.