Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction0.942.343.29safe0.00–1.911.49–3.201.46–5.11safer0.00–2.161.26–3.430.98–5.59
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.316.8410.15safe1.45–5.175.10–8.586.55–13.76safer0.96–5.664.63–9.055.59–14.71
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1117.2427.36safe6.19–14.0413.68–20.8119.87–34.84safer5.10–15.1312.72–21.7717.82–36.89
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.6411.7818.42safe3.70–9.589.10–14.4612.80–24.04safer2.87–10.418.36–15.2011.23–25.61
Blocked shots
13%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.525.037.54safe0.64–4.403.37–6.684.01–11.08safer0.09–4.942.88–7.172.97–12.11
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction3.397.0210.41safe1.18–5.605.02–9.026.20–14.63safer0.60–6.184.49–9.565.09–15.73
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction30.9070.45safe24.11–37.6963.67–77.24safer22.44–39.3662.00–78.91
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction294692986safe227–361626–759853–1120safer209–379608–776817–1156
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction65.3783.76safe61.34–69.4079.43–88.08safer60.05–70.6978.13–89.39
Fouls
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction11.428.8320.25safe8.58–14.265.88–11.7714.47–26.03safer7.82–15.015.14–12.5212.96–27.53
Offsides
48%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.753.90safe0.99–3.310.65–2.841.64–6.15safer0.69–3.610.36–3.131.06–6.74
Yellow cards
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.613.71safe1.05–3.150.49–2.741.53–5.89safer0.78–3.410.19–3.030.98–6.45
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
71%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.072.186.25safe2.64–5.510.62–3.743.26–9.24safer2.25–5.900.20–4.162.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.16 | 2.34 1.49–3.20 1.26–3.43 | 3.29 1.46–5.11 0.98–5.59 | 14% 18% 69% |
| Shots on target | 3.31 1.45–5.17 0.96–5.66 | 6.84 5.10–8.58 4.63–9.05 | 10.15 6.55–13.76 5.59–14.71 | 83% |
| Total shots | 10.11 6.19–14.04 5.10–15.13 | 17.24 13.68–20.81 12.72–21.77 | 27.36 19.87–34.84 17.82–36.89 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 6.64 3.70–9.58 2.87–10.41 | 11.78 9.10–14.46 8.36–15.20 | 18.42 12.80–24.04 11.23–25.61 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 2.52 0.64–4.40 0.09–4.94 | 5.03 3.37–6.68 2.88–7.17 | 7.54 4.01–11.08 2.97–12.11 | 13% 77% |
| Corners | 3.39 1.18–5.60 0.60–6.18 | 7.02 5.02–9.02 4.49–9.56 | 10.41 6.20–14.63 5.09–15.73 | 84% |
| Possession % | 30.90 24.11–37.69 22.44–39.36 | 70.45 63.67–77.24 62.00–78.91 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 294 227–361 209–379 | 692 626–759 608–776 | 986 853–1120 817–1156 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.37 61.34–69.40 60.05–70.69 | 83.76 79.43–88.08 78.13–89.39 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 11.42 8.58–14.26 7.82–15.01 | 8.83 5.88–11.77 5.14–12.52 | 20.25 14.47–26.03 12.96–27.53 | 68% 25% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.75 0.65–2.84 0.36–3.13 | 3.90 1.64–6.15 1.06–6.74 | 48% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.10 1.05–3.15 0.78–3.41 | 1.61 0.49–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.07 2.64–5.51 2.25–5.90 | 2.18 0.62–3.74 0.20–4.16 | 6.25 3.26–9.24 2.45–10.06 | 71% 16% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+