Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
84%
homeawaytotalprediction3.370.884.25safe2.40–4.340.02–1.732.43–6.07safer2.15–4.590.00–1.961.95–6.55
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.073.0611.13safe6.21–9.931.32–4.807.52–14.73safer5.72–10.420.85–5.276.57–15.69
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.128.1228.23safe16.19–24.044.55–11.6820.75–35.72safer15.10–25.133.60–12.6418.69–37.77
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.725.3619.08safe10.78–16.662.67–8.0413.45–24.70safer9.95–17.491.94–8.7711.89–26.27
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.652.017.66safe3.76–7.530.35–3.664.12–11.19safer3.22–8.070.00–4.153.08–12.23
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.462.8410.31safe5.25–9.680.84–4.846.09–14.52safer4.68–10.250.31–5.384.99–15.63
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction71.3828.44safe64.59–78.1821.66–35.23safer62.92–79.8419.98–36.90
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7282801009safe661–796214–347875–1142safer643–814196–364839–1178
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction82.0868.85safe78.05–86.1164.53–73.18safer76.76–87.4063.22–74.49
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4411.2019.64safe5.60–11.288.26–14.1513.86–25.42safer4.85–12.037.51–14.9012.36–26.93
Offsides
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.873.75safe0.72–3.040.77–2.961.49–6.00safer0.42–3.340.49–3.250.90–6.59
Yellow cards
21%
22%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.872.91safe0.00–2.090.74–3.000.74–5.09safer0.00–2.360.45–3.290.18–5.65
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction2.075.007.07safe0.63–3.513.45–6.564.08–10.06safer0.25–3.893.02–6.983.27–10.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.37 2.40–4.34 2.15–4.59 | 0.88 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 4.25 2.43–6.07 1.95–6.55 | 84% |
| Shots on target | 8.07 6.21–9.93 5.72–10.42 | 3.06 1.32–4.80 0.85–5.27 | 11.13 7.52–14.73 6.57–15.69 | 92% |
| Total shots | 20.12 16.19–24.04 15.10–25.13 | 8.12 4.55–11.68 3.60–12.64 | 28.23 20.75–35.72 18.69–37.77 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.72 10.78–16.66 9.95–17.49 | 5.36 2.67–8.04 1.94–8.77 | 19.08 13.45–24.70 11.89–26.27 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.65 3.76–7.53 3.22–8.07 | 2.01 0.35–3.66 0.00–4.15 | 7.66 4.12–11.19 3.08–12.23 | 88% |
| Corners | 7.46 5.25–9.68 4.68–10.25 | 2.84 0.84–4.84 0.31–5.38 | 10.31 6.09–14.52 4.99–15.63 | 91% |
| Possession % | 71.38 64.59–78.18 62.92–79.84 | 28.44 21.66–35.23 19.98–36.90 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 728 661–796 643–814 | 280 214–347 196–364 | 1009 875–1142 839–1178 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.08 78.05–86.11 76.76–87.40 | 68.85 64.53–73.18 63.22–74.49 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 8.44 5.60–11.28 4.85–12.03 | 11.20 8.26–14.15 7.51–14.90 | 19.64 13.86–25.42 12.36–26.93 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.87 0.77–2.96 0.49–3.25 | 3.75 1.49–6.00 0.90–6.59 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.04 0.00–2.09 0.00–2.36 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 2.91 0.74–5.09 0.18–5.65 | 21% 22% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.07 0.63–3.51 0.25–3.89 | 5.00 3.45–6.56 3.02–6.98 | 7.07 4.08–10.06 3.27–10.88 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.