Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.432.90safe0.50–2.440.58–2.281.08–4.73safer0.25–2.690.35–2.510.60–5.20
Shots on target
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.984.629.61safe3.12–6.852.88–6.376.00–13.21safer2.63–7.342.42–6.835.05–14.17
Total shots
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2713.0826.34safe9.34–17.199.51–16.6418.86–33.83safer8.25–18.288.55–17.6016.81–35.88
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.668.9917.66safe5.72–11.616.31–11.6712.03–23.28safer4.89–12.445.58–12.4110.47–24.85
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.423.747.16safe1.54–5.302.09–5.393.62–10.70safer0.99–5.841.60–5.892.59–11.73
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.974.959.92safe2.76–7.182.95–6.955.70–14.13safer2.18–7.762.41–7.484.59–15.24
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.4852.05safe41.69–55.2745.27–58.84safer40.02–56.9443.59–60.51
Passes
41%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction414440854safe347–481374–507721–988safer329–500356–524685–1024
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction66.2370.59safe62.20–70.2666.27–74.91safer60.90–71.5564.96–76.22
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1813.9025.08safe8.34–14.0210.95–16.8419.30–30.86safer7.59–14.7810.20–17.5917.79–32.37
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.533.02safe0.33–2.650.44–2.630.77–5.27safer0.03–2.950.15–2.910.18–5.86
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.354.23safe0.82–2.921.22–3.482.05–6.40safer0.56–3.190.93–3.771.49–6.96
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.23safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.86
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.386.44safe1.63–4.501.82–4.933.45–9.44safer1.24–4.891.40–5.362.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.43 0.58–2.28 0.35–2.51 | 2.90 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.20 | 39% 25% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.98 3.12–6.85 2.63–7.34 | 4.62 2.88–6.37 2.42–6.83 | 9.61 6.00–13.21 5.05–14.17 | 48% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.27 9.34–17.19 8.25–18.28 | 13.08 9.51–16.64 8.55–17.60 | 26.34 18.86–33.83 16.81–35.88 | 48% 45% |
| Shots in box | 8.66 5.72–11.61 4.89–12.44 | 8.99 6.31–11.67 5.58–12.41 | 17.66 12.03–23.28 10.47–24.85 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.42 1.54–5.30 0.99–5.84 | 3.74 2.09–5.39 1.60–5.89 | 7.16 3.62–10.70 2.59–11.73 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 4.97 2.76–7.18 2.18–7.76 | 4.95 2.95–6.95 2.41–7.48 | 9.92 5.70–14.13 4.59–15.24 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 48.48 41.69–55.27 40.02–56.94 | 52.05 45.27–58.84 43.59–60.51 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 414 347–481 329–500 | 440 374–507 356–524 | 854 721–988 685–1024 | 41% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.23 62.20–70.26 60.90–71.55 | 70.59 66.27–74.91 64.96–76.22 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 11.18 8.34–14.02 7.59–14.78 | 13.90 10.95–16.84 10.20–17.59 | 25.08 19.30–30.86 17.79–32.37 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.95 | 1.53 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.91 | 3.02 0.77–5.27 0.18–5.86 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 2.35 1.22–3.48 0.93–3.77 | 4.23 2.05–6.40 1.49–6.96 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.07 1.63–4.50 1.24–4.89 | 3.38 1.82–4.93 1.40–5.36 | 6.44 3.45–9.44 2.64–10.25 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.