Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.242.86safe0.65–2.590.39–2.101.04–4.68safer0.40–2.840.16–2.320.56–5.16
Shots on target
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.269.36safe3.24–6.972.52–6.005.76–12.97safer2.75–7.462.05–6.474.80–13.92
Total shots
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5712.4628.03safe11.64–19.498.90–16.0220.54–35.51safer10.55–20.587.94–16.9818.49–37.56
Shots in box
66%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.907.6417.54safe6.96–12.844.96–10.3211.92–23.17safer6.13–13.674.22–11.0610.35–24.73
Blocked shots
60%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.513.327.83safe2.62–6.391.67–4.974.29–11.36safer2.08–6.931.17–5.463.25–12.40
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.744.219.95safe3.53–7.952.21–6.215.74–14.17safer2.95–8.531.68–6.754.63–15.27
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction53.3545.81safe46.56–60.1439.03–52.60safer44.89–61.8137.36–54.27
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction475399874safe408–542332–465740–1007safer389–560315–483704–1043
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction70.0169.66safe65.98–74.0465.34–73.98safer64.69–75.3364.03–75.29
Fouls
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9411.6425.59safe11.10–16.788.70–14.5919.80–31.37safer10.35–17.537.95–15.3418.30–32.87
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.493.05safe0.39–2.720.40–2.590.79–5.30safer0.09–3.020.11–2.870.21–5.89
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.983.84safe0.81–2.910.85–3.111.66–6.02safer0.54–3.170.56–3.401.10–6.57
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.933.506.44safe1.50–4.371.95–5.063.44–9.43safer1.11–4.761.52–5.482.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.24 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.32 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 46% 24% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.10 3.24–6.97 2.75–7.46 | 4.26 2.52–6.00 2.05–6.47 | 9.36 5.76–12.97 4.80–13.92 | 54% 33% |
| Total shots | 15.57 11.64–19.49 10.55–20.58 | 12.46 8.90–16.02 7.94–16.98 | 28.03 20.54–35.51 18.49–37.56 | 69% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.90 6.96–12.84 6.13–13.67 | 7.64 4.96–10.32 4.22–11.06 | 17.54 11.92–23.17 10.35–24.73 | 66% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.51 2.62–6.39 2.08–6.93 | 3.32 1.67–4.97 1.17–5.46 | 7.83 4.29–11.36 3.25–12.40 | 60% 13% 27% |
| Corners | 5.74 3.53–7.95 2.95–8.53 | 4.21 2.21–6.21 1.68–6.75 | 9.95 5.74–14.17 4.63–15.27 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 53.35 46.56–60.14 44.89–61.81 | 45.81 39.03–52.60 37.36–54.27 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 475 408–542 389–560 | 399 332–465 315–483 | 874 740–1007 704–1043 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.01 65.98–74.04 64.69–75.33 | 69.66 65.34–73.98 64.03–75.29 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 13.94 11.10–16.78 10.35–17.53 | 11.64 8.70–14.59 7.95–15.34 | 25.59 19.80–31.37 18.30–32.87 | 64% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.39–2.72 0.09–3.02 | 1.49 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.87 | 3.05 0.79–5.30 0.21–5.89 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.10–6.57 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 3.50 1.95–5.06 1.52–5.48 | 6.44 3.44–9.43 2.63–10.24 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.