Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
20%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.012.143.15safe0.04–1.981.29–3.001.33–4.98safer0.00–2.231.06–3.230.85–5.46
Shots on target
15%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.616.389.99safe1.74–5.474.64–8.136.38–13.59safer1.25–5.964.17–8.595.43–14.55
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0316.6127.64safe7.11–14.9513.05–20.1820.16–35.13safer6.01–16.0512.09–21.1418.11–37.18
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9911.3218.31safe4.05–9.938.64–14.0012.68–23.93safer3.22–10.767.90–14.7411.12–25.50
Blocked shots
24%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.254.697.95safe1.37–5.133.04–6.354.41–11.48safer0.83–5.682.55–6.843.38–12.52
Corners
22%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.005.969.96safe1.79–6.213.96–7.965.75–14.18safer1.21–6.793.43–8.504.64–15.29
Possession %
15%
83%
homeawayprediction42.4059.22safe35.61–49.1952.43–66.00safer33.94–50.8650.76–67.67
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction405560965safe338–473494–626832–1099safer320–491476–644796–1135
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction66.2579.19safe62.22–70.2874.86–83.51safer60.92–71.5773.55–84.82
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7311.2022.94safe8.89–14.578.26–14.1517.15–28.72safer8.14–15.327.51–14.9015.65–30.22
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.663.31safe0.49–2.810.57–2.751.06–5.57safer0.19–3.120.28–3.040.47–6.16
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.803.65safe0.80–2.900.67–2.931.48–5.83safer0.54–3.170.38–3.220.92–6.39
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.712.606.31safe2.28–5.151.05–4.163.32–9.31safer1.89–5.540.62–4.582.51–10.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 2.14 1.29–3.00 1.06–3.23 | 3.15 1.33–4.98 0.85–5.46 | 17% 20% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.61 1.74–5.47 1.25–5.96 | 6.38 4.64–8.13 4.17–8.59 | 9.99 6.38–13.59 5.43–14.55 | 15% 77% |
| Total shots | 11.03 7.11–14.95 6.01–16.05 | 16.61 13.05–20.18 12.09–21.14 | 27.64 20.16–35.13 18.11–37.18 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 6.99 4.05–9.93 3.22–10.76 | 11.32 8.64–14.00 7.90–14.74 | 18.31 12.68–23.93 11.12–25.50 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.37–5.13 0.83–5.68 | 4.69 3.04–6.35 2.55–6.84 | 7.95 4.41–11.48 3.38–12.52 | 24% 63% |
| Corners | 4.00 1.79–6.21 1.21–6.79 | 5.96 3.96–7.96 3.43–8.50 | 9.96 5.75–14.18 4.64–15.29 | 22% 68% |
| Possession % | 42.40 35.61–49.19 33.94–50.86 | 59.22 52.43–66.00 50.76–67.67 | — | 15% 83% |
| Passes | 405 338–473 320–491 | 560 494–626 476–644 | 965 832–1099 796–1135 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.25 62.22–70.28 60.92–71.57 | 79.19 74.86–83.51 73.55–84.82 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.73 8.89–14.57 8.14–15.32 | 11.20 8.26–14.15 7.51–14.90 | 22.94 17.15–28.72 15.65–30.22 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.12 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.31 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.16 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.65 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.71 2.28–5.15 1.89–5.54 | 2.60 1.05–4.16 0.62–4.58 | 6.31 3.32–9.31 2.51–10.12 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.