Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.500.903.40safe1.53–3.470.05–1.761.58–5.23safer1.28–3.720.00–1.991.10–5.70
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.033.2510.28safe5.17–8.891.51–5.006.68–13.89safer4.68–9.381.05–5.465.72–14.84
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.818.8528.66safe15.88–23.735.29–12.4221.17–36.15safer14.79–24.824.33–13.3819.12–38.20
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.645.7518.39safe9.70–15.583.07–8.4312.77–24.02safer8.87–16.412.33–9.1711.20–25.58
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.352.417.76safe3.47–7.230.76–4.064.22–11.29safer2.92–7.770.26–4.553.19–12.33
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.173.1210.29safe4.96–9.381.12–5.126.08–14.51safer4.38–9.960.59–5.664.97–15.61
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.9837.96safe55.19–68.7731.18–44.75safer53.52–70.4429.51–46.42
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction609378986safe542–676311–444853–1120safer523–694294–462817–1156
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction79.1970.40safe75.16–83.2266.07–74.72safer73.87–84.5164.76–76.03
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3411.3522.70safe8.51–14.188.41–14.3016.91–28.48safer7.75–14.947.66–15.0515.41–29.98
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.483.30safe0.66–2.980.38–2.571.05–5.55safer0.36–3.280.10–2.860.46–6.14
Yellow cards
25%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.993.29safe0.26–2.350.86–3.121.12–5.47safer0.00–2.620.57–3.410.56–6.03
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.284.286.55safe0.84–3.712.72–5.833.56–9.54safer0.45–4.102.30–6.262.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.50 1.53–3.47 1.28–3.72 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 3.40 1.58–5.23 1.10–5.70 | 72% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.03 5.17–8.89 4.68–9.38 | 3.25 1.51–5.00 1.05–5.46 | 10.28 6.68–13.89 5.72–14.84 | 85% |
| Total shots | 19.81 15.88–23.73 14.79–24.82 | 8.85 5.29–12.42 4.33–13.38 | 28.66 21.17–36.15 19.12–38.20 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.64 9.70–15.58 8.87–16.41 | 5.75 3.07–8.43 2.33–9.17 | 18.39 12.77–24.02 11.20–25.58 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.35 3.47–7.23 2.92–7.77 | 2.41 0.76–4.06 0.26–4.55 | 7.76 4.22–11.29 3.19–12.33 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.17 4.96–9.38 4.38–9.96 | 3.12 1.12–5.12 0.59–5.66 | 10.29 6.08–14.51 4.97–15.61 | 87% |
| Possession % | 61.98 55.19–68.77 53.52–70.44 | 37.96 31.18–44.75 29.51–46.42 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 609 542–676 523–694 | 378 311–444 294–462 | 986 853–1120 817–1156 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.19 75.16–83.22 73.87–84.51 | 70.40 66.07–74.72 64.76–76.03 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.34 8.51–14.18 7.75–14.94 | 11.35 8.41–14.30 7.66–15.05 | 22.70 16.91–28.48 15.41–29.98 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.48 0.38–2.57 0.10–2.86 | 3.30 1.05–5.55 0.46–6.14 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.35 0.00–2.62 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.29 1.12–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 25% 22% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.84–3.71 0.45–4.10 | 4.28 2.72–5.83 2.30–6.26 | 6.55 3.56–9.54 2.75–10.36 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.