Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.773.25safe0.51–2.450.91–2.621.43–5.07safer0.26–2.700.68–2.850.95–5.55
Shots on target
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction5.295.9411.22safe3.42–7.154.19–7.687.62–14.83safer2.93–7.643.73–8.146.66–15.78
Total shots
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3015.0530.36safe11.38–19.2311.49–18.6222.87–37.84safer10.29–20.3210.53–19.5820.82–39.89
Shots in box
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2410.2819.51safe6.29–12.187.60–12.9613.89–25.14safer5.46–13.016.86–13.6912.32–26.70
Blocked shots
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.294.358.64safe2.41–6.182.69–6.005.11–12.18safer1.87–6.722.20–6.494.07–13.21
Corners
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.475.5210.99safe3.26–7.683.52–7.526.78–15.20safer2.68–8.262.99–8.055.67–16.31
Possession %
43%
53%
homeawayprediction49.2651.43safe42.47–56.0544.65–58.22safer40.80–57.7242.98–59.89
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction425449874safe357–492383–515740–1007safer339–510365–533704–1043
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction68.1476.96safe64.11–72.1772.63–81.28safer62.81–73.4671.32–82.59
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0912.6923.78safe8.25–13.939.75–15.6418.00–29.56safer7.49–14.689.00–16.3916.50–31.07
Offsides
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.033.57safe0.38–2.700.93–3.121.32–5.82safer0.08–3.010.65–3.410.73–6.41
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.264.02safe0.71–2.811.13–3.391.84–6.19safer0.44–3.070.84–3.681.28–6.75
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.236.90safe2.23–5.101.68–4.793.91–9.89safer1.84–5.491.25–5.213.09–10.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.77 0.91–2.62 0.68–2.85 | 3.25 1.43–5.07 0.95–5.55 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Shots on target | 5.29 3.42–7.15 2.93–7.64 | 5.94 4.19–7.68 3.73–8.14 | 11.22 7.62–14.83 6.66–15.78 | 36% 52% |
| Total shots | 15.30 11.38–19.23 10.29–20.32 | 15.05 11.49–18.62 10.53–19.58 | 30.36 22.87–37.84 20.82–39.89 | 48% 45% |
| Shots in box | 9.24 6.29–12.18 5.46–13.01 | 10.28 7.60–12.96 6.86–13.69 | 19.51 13.89–25.14 12.32–26.70 | 36% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 4.29 2.41–6.18 1.87–6.72 | 4.35 2.69–6.00 2.20–6.49 | 8.64 5.11–12.18 4.07–13.21 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Corners | 5.47 3.26–7.68 2.68–8.26 | 5.52 3.52–7.52 2.99–8.05 | 10.99 6.78–15.20 5.67–16.31 | 43% 45% |
| Possession % | 49.26 42.47–56.05 40.80–57.72 | 51.43 44.65–58.22 42.98–59.89 | — | 43% 53% |
| Passes | 425 357–492 339–510 | 449 383–515 365–533 | 874 740–1007 704–1043 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.14 64.11–72.17 62.81–73.46 | 76.96 72.63–81.28 71.32–82.59 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.09 8.25–13.93 7.49–14.68 | 12.69 9.75–15.64 9.00–16.39 | 23.78 18.00–29.56 16.50–31.07 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.01 | 2.03 0.93–3.12 0.65–3.41 | 3.57 1.32–5.82 0.73–6.41 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.44–3.07 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 4.02 1.84–6.19 1.28–6.75 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.67 2.23–5.10 1.84–5.49 | 3.23 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 6.90 3.91–9.89 3.09–10.70 | 49% 15% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.