Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.271.363.64safe1.31–3.240.51–2.221.81–5.46safer1.05–3.490.28–2.451.33–5.94
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.614.4811.09safe4.75–8.472.74–6.237.49–14.70safer4.26–8.962.28–6.696.53–15.65
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction18.2012.4830.69safe14.28–22.138.92–16.0423.20–38.17safer13.19–23.227.96–17.0021.15–40.22
Shots in box
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction12.868.3821.24safe9.92–15.805.70–11.0615.62–26.86safer9.09–16.634.96–11.7914.05–28.43
Blocked shots
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.743.177.90safe2.86–6.621.51–4.824.37–11.44safer2.31–7.161.02–5.313.33–12.47
Corners
64%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.534.8511.38safe4.32–8.742.85–6.857.17–15.60safer3.74–9.322.32–7.386.06–16.70
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.7945.84safe49.00–62.5839.05–52.62safer47.33–64.2537.38–54.29
Passes
81%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction503396899safe436–570329–462765–1032safer417–588312–480729–1068
Pass accuracy %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction75.1772.21safe71.14–79.2067.89–76.54safer69.85–80.4966.58–77.85
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6311.8323.46safe8.79–14.478.89–14.7817.68–29.24safer8.04–15.228.14–15.5216.17–30.75
Offsides
54%
21%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.343.40safe0.90–3.220.24–2.431.15–5.65safer0.60–3.520.00–2.720.56–6.24
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.933.55safe0.57–2.670.80–3.061.37–5.73safer0.30–2.930.51–3.350.82–6.29
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
27%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.124.307.42safe1.68–4.562.75–5.864.43–10.42safer1.30–4.942.32–6.283.62–11.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.27 1.31–3.24 1.05–3.49 | 1.36 0.51–2.22 0.28–2.45 | 3.64 1.81–5.46 1.33–5.94 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.61 4.75–8.47 4.26–8.96 | 4.48 2.74–6.23 2.28–6.69 | 11.09 7.49–14.70 6.53–15.65 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 18.20 14.28–22.13 13.19–23.22 | 12.48 8.92–16.04 7.96–17.00 | 30.69 23.20–38.17 21.15–40.22 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 12.86 9.92–15.80 9.09–16.63 | 8.38 5.70–11.06 4.96–11.79 | 21.24 15.62–26.86 14.05–28.43 | 81% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.74 2.86–6.62 2.31–7.16 | 3.17 1.51–4.82 1.02–5.31 | 7.90 4.37–11.44 3.33–12.47 | 65% 23% |
| Corners | 6.53 4.32–8.74 3.74–9.32 | 4.85 2.85–6.85 2.32–7.38 | 11.38 7.17–15.60 6.06–16.70 | 64% 26% |
| Possession % | 55.79 49.00–62.58 47.33–64.25 | 45.84 39.05–52.62 37.38–54.29 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 503 436–570 417–588 | 396 329–462 312–480 | 899 765–1032 729–1068 | 81% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.17 71.14–79.20 69.85–80.49 | 72.21 67.89–76.54 66.58–77.85 | — | 62% 33% |
| Fouls | 11.63 8.79–14.47 8.04–15.22 | 11.83 8.89–14.78 8.14–15.52 | 23.46 17.68–29.24 16.17–30.75 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.06 0.90–3.22 0.60–3.52 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.40 1.15–5.65 0.56–6.24 | 54% 21% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.30–2.93 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.55 1.37–5.73 0.82–6.29 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.12 1.68–4.56 1.30–4.94 | 4.30 2.75–5.86 2.32–6.28 | 7.42 4.43–10.42 3.62–11.23 | 27% 14% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.