Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
90%
homeawaytotalprediction3.870.754.62safe2.90–4.830.00–1.612.79–6.44safer2.65–5.090.00–1.832.31–6.92
Shots on target
96%
homeawaytotalprediction9.833.1612.98safe7.96–11.691.41–4.909.38–16.59safer7.48–12.180.95–5.368.42–17.54
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction24.167.8632.02safe20.23–28.084.30–11.4224.53–39.51safer19.14–29.183.34–12.3822.48–41.56
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction16.545.5322.07safe13.59–19.482.85–8.2116.45–27.69safer12.77–20.312.12–8.9514.88–29.26
Blocked shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction7.011.698.70safe5.13–8.890.03–3.345.16–12.23safer4.58–9.440.00–3.834.13–13.27
Corners
97%
homeawaytotalprediction9.352.6111.96safe7.14–11.570.61–4.617.75–16.17safer6.57–12.140.07–5.146.64–17.28
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction69.1531.29safe62.36–75.9424.50–38.07safer60.69–77.6122.83–39.74
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7223291051safe655–789263–396918–1185safer637–808245–413882–1221
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction84.6371.37safe80.60–88.6667.05–75.70safer79.31–89.9565.74–77.01
Fouls
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction8.9410.0619.01safe6.10–11.787.12–13.0113.22–24.79safer5.35–12.536.37–13.7611.72–26.29
Offsides
59%
18%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.661.654.30safe1.50–3.820.55–2.742.05–6.56safer1.20–4.120.27–3.031.46–7.15
Yellow cards
21%
25%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction0.901.592.49safe0.00–1.950.46–2.710.31–4.67safer0.00–2.220.17–3.010.00–5.22
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
89%
homeawaytotalprediction2.126.088.20safe0.68–3.554.53–7.645.21–11.19safer0.29–3.944.10–8.064.40–12.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.87 2.90–4.83 2.65–5.09 | 0.75 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.83 | 4.62 2.79–6.44 2.31–6.92 | 90% |
| Shots on target | 9.83 7.96–11.69 7.48–12.18 | 3.16 1.41–4.90 0.95–5.36 | 12.98 9.38–16.59 8.42–17.54 | 96% |
| Total shots | 24.16 20.23–28.08 19.14–29.18 | 7.86 4.30–11.42 3.34–12.38 | 32.02 24.53–39.51 22.48–41.56 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 16.54 13.59–19.48 12.77–20.31 | 5.53 2.85–8.21 2.12–8.95 | 22.07 16.45–27.69 14.88–29.26 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 7.01 5.13–8.89 4.58–9.44 | 1.69 0.03–3.34 0.00–3.83 | 8.70 5.16–12.23 4.13–13.27 | 96% |
| Corners | 9.35 7.14–11.57 6.57–12.14 | 2.61 0.61–4.61 0.07–5.14 | 11.96 7.75–16.17 6.64–17.28 | 97% |
| Possession % | 69.15 62.36–75.94 60.69–77.61 | 31.29 24.50–38.07 22.83–39.74 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 722 655–789 637–808 | 329 263–396 245–413 | 1051 918–1185 882–1221 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.63 80.60–88.66 79.31–89.95 | 71.37 67.05–75.70 65.74–77.01 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 8.94 6.10–11.78 5.35–12.53 | 10.06 7.12–13.01 6.37–13.76 | 19.01 13.22–24.79 11.72–26.29 | 35% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.66 1.50–3.82 1.20–4.12 | 1.65 0.55–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 4.30 2.05–6.56 1.46–7.15 | 59% 18% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 0.90 0.00–1.95 0.00–2.22 | 1.59 0.46–2.71 0.17–3.01 | 2.49 0.31–4.67 0.00–5.22 | 21% 25% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.68–3.55 0.29–3.94 | 6.08 4.53–7.64 4.10–8.06 | 8.20 5.21–11.19 4.40–12.01 | 89% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.