Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.333.56safe1.26–3.200.48–2.191.74–5.38safer1.01–3.450.25–2.411.26–5.86
Shots on target
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction6.114.5910.70safe4.25–7.972.85–6.337.09–14.30safer3.76–8.462.38–6.806.14–15.26
Total shots
72%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction16.8413.2130.05safe12.91–20.769.65–16.7722.56–37.53safer11.82–21.858.69–17.7320.51–39.58
Shots in box
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction12.169.3721.53safe9.22–15.106.69–12.0515.91–27.15safer8.39–15.935.96–12.7914.34–28.72
Blocked shots
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.434.078.51safe2.55–6.322.42–5.734.97–12.04safer2.01–6.861.93–6.223.94–13.08
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.394.2710.66safe4.18–8.602.27–6.276.45–14.87safer3.60–9.181.74–6.805.34–15.98
Possession %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction57.6443.45safe50.85–64.4336.67–50.24safer49.18–66.1035.00–51.91
Passes
85%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction526399925safe459–593333–465791–1058safer440–611315–483755–1094
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction70.5970.48safe66.56–74.6266.16–74.80safer65.27–75.9164.85–76.11
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6813.8824.56safe7.84–13.5210.94–16.8318.78–30.34safer7.08–14.2710.19–17.5717.27–31.85
Offsides
39%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.613.26safe0.50–2.820.51–2.701.01–5.52safer0.20–3.120.22–2.990.42–6.10
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.303.85safe0.50–2.601.17–3.421.67–6.03safer0.24–2.870.88–3.721.11–6.58
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.756.80safe1.61–4.482.19–5.313.81–9.79safer1.22–4.871.77–5.732.99–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.23 1.26–3.20 1.01–3.45 | 1.33 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.41 | 3.56 1.74–5.38 1.26–5.86 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.11 4.25–7.97 3.76–8.46 | 4.59 2.85–6.33 2.38–6.80 | 10.70 7.09–14.30 6.14–15.26 | 62% 27% |
| Total shots | 16.84 12.91–20.76 11.82–21.85 | 13.21 9.65–16.77 8.69–17.73 | 30.05 22.56–37.53 20.51–39.58 | 72% 23% |
| Shots in box | 12.16 9.22–15.10 8.39–15.93 | 9.37 6.69–12.05 5.96–12.79 | 21.53 15.91–27.15 14.34–28.72 | 69% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.43 2.55–6.32 2.01–6.86 | 4.07 2.42–5.73 1.93–6.22 | 8.51 4.97–12.04 3.94–13.08 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 6.39 4.18–8.60 3.60–9.18 | 4.27 2.27–6.27 1.74–6.80 | 10.66 6.45–14.87 5.34–15.98 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 57.64 50.85–64.43 49.18–66.10 | 43.45 36.67–50.24 35.00–51.91 | — | 78% 18% |
| Passes | 526 459–593 440–611 | 399 333–465 315–483 | 925 791–1058 755–1094 | 85% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.59 66.56–74.62 65.27–75.91 | 70.48 66.16–74.80 64.85–76.11 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 10.68 7.84–13.52 7.08–14.27 | 13.88 10.94–16.83 10.19–17.57 | 24.56 18.78–30.34 17.27–31.85 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.61 0.51–2.70 0.22–2.99 | 3.26 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.10 | 39% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 2.30 1.17–3.42 0.88–3.72 | 3.85 1.67–6.03 1.11–6.58 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.61–4.48 1.22–4.87 | 3.75 2.19–5.31 1.77–5.73 | 6.80 3.81–9.79 2.99–10.60 | 32% 15% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.