Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.050.983.03safe1.09–3.020.12–1.831.21–4.85safer0.84–3.270.00–2.060.73–5.33
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.453.379.82safe4.59–8.311.63–5.116.22–13.43safer4.10–8.801.16–5.585.26–14.38
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.639.3829.02safe15.71–23.565.82–12.9521.53–36.50safer14.62–24.654.86–13.9019.48–38.55
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction12.876.1519.02safe9.93–15.813.47–8.8313.39–24.64safer9.10–16.642.73–9.5711.83–26.21
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.472.357.82safe3.59–7.360.70–4.004.29–11.36safer3.05–7.900.20–4.493.25–12.39
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.203.3210.52safe4.98–9.411.32–5.326.31–14.73safer4.41–9.980.79–5.865.20–15.84
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.8339.28safe54.04–67.6232.50–46.07safer52.37–69.2930.82–47.74
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction577369946safe509–644302–435812–1079safer491–662285–453776–1115
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction77.7768.28safe73.74–81.8063.95–72.60safer72.45–83.0962.64–73.91
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4212.1523.56safe8.58–14.259.21–15.0917.78–29.35safer7.82–15.018.46–15.8416.28–30.85
Offsides
52%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.433.50safe0.91–3.230.33–2.521.25–5.75safer0.61–3.530.05–2.810.66–6.34
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.332.123.45safe0.28–2.380.99–3.251.27–5.63safer0.02–2.650.70–3.540.72–6.19
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
13%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.164.486.63safe0.72–3.592.92–6.033.64–9.63safer0.33–3.982.50–6.462.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.05 1.09–3.02 0.84–3.27 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.45 4.59–8.31 4.10–8.80 | 3.37 1.63–5.11 1.16–5.58 | 9.82 6.22–13.43 5.26–14.38 | 80% |
| Total shots | 19.63 15.71–23.56 14.62–24.65 | 9.38 5.82–12.95 4.86–13.90 | 29.02 21.53–36.50 19.48–38.55 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.87 9.93–15.81 9.10–16.64 | 6.15 3.47–8.83 2.73–9.57 | 19.02 13.39–24.64 11.83–26.21 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.47 3.59–7.36 3.05–7.90 | 2.35 0.70–4.00 0.20–4.49 | 7.82 4.29–11.36 3.25–12.39 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.20 4.98–9.41 4.41–9.98 | 3.32 1.32–5.32 0.79–5.86 | 10.52 6.31–14.73 5.20–15.84 | 85% |
| Possession % | 60.83 54.04–67.62 52.37–69.29 | 39.28 32.50–46.07 30.82–47.74 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 577 509–644 491–662 | 369 302–435 285–453 | 946 812–1079 776–1115 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.77 73.74–81.80 72.45–83.09 | 68.28 63.95–72.60 62.64–73.91 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.42 8.58–14.25 7.82–15.01 | 12.15 9.21–15.09 8.46–15.84 | 23.56 17.78–29.35 16.28–30.85 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 1.43 0.33–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.50 1.25–5.75 0.66–6.34 | 52% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.02–2.65 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.16 0.72–3.59 0.33–3.98 | 4.48 2.92–6.03 2.50–6.46 | 6.63 3.64–9.63 2.83–10.44 | 13% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.