Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.573.12safe0.58–2.520.71–2.421.30–4.94safer0.33–2.770.48–2.650.82–5.42
Shots on target
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.884.709.58safe3.02–6.742.95–6.445.97–13.18safer2.53–7.232.49–6.915.02–14.14
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1212.6026.72safe10.20–18.049.03–16.1619.23–34.20safer9.10–19.148.08–17.1217.18–36.26
Shots in box
47%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction9.389.1618.54safe6.44–12.326.48–11.8412.92–24.17safer5.61–13.155.74–12.5811.35–25.73
Blocked shots
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.053.917.96safe2.17–5.932.26–5.564.43–11.50safer1.62–6.471.77–6.063.39–12.53
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.384.6810.06safe3.17–7.592.68–6.685.85–14.28safer2.59–8.172.15–7.224.74–15.38
Possession %
73%
24%
homeawayprediction56.5145.35safe49.72–63.3038.56–52.13safer48.05–64.9736.89–53.80
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction481369850safe414–548302–435716–983safer396–567285–453680–1019
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction71.3571.21safe67.32–75.3866.88–75.53safer66.03–76.6865.57–76.84
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7813.0323.81safe7.95–13.6210.08–15.9718.03–29.59safer7.19–14.389.33–16.7216.53–31.10
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.523.21safe0.52–2.840.43–2.620.95–5.46safer0.22–3.140.14–2.910.36–6.05
Yellow cards
33%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.993.67safe0.63–2.730.86–3.121.49–5.85safer0.37–3.000.57–3.410.93–6.41
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.103.286.39safe1.67–4.541.73–4.843.40–9.38safer1.28–4.931.30–5.272.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.57 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 3.12 1.30–4.94 0.82–5.42 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.02–6.74 2.53–7.23 | 4.70 2.95–6.44 2.49–6.91 | 9.58 5.97–13.18 5.02–14.14 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 14.12 10.20–18.04 9.10–19.14 | 12.60 9.03–16.16 8.08–17.12 | 26.72 19.23–34.20 17.18–36.26 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.38 6.44–12.32 5.61–13.15 | 9.16 6.48–11.84 5.74–12.58 | 18.54 12.92–24.17 11.35–25.73 | 47% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 4.05 2.17–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 3.91 2.26–5.56 1.77–6.06 | 7.96 4.43–11.50 3.39–12.53 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 5.38 3.17–7.59 2.59–8.17 | 4.68 2.68–6.68 2.15–7.22 | 10.06 5.85–14.28 4.74–15.38 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 56.51 49.72–63.30 48.05–64.97 | 45.35 38.56–52.13 36.89–53.80 | — | 73% 24% |
| Passes | 481 414–548 396–567 | 369 302–435 285–453 | 850 716–983 680–1019 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.35 67.32–75.38 66.03–76.68 | 71.21 66.88–75.53 65.57–76.84 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 10.78 7.95–13.62 7.19–14.38 | 13.03 10.08–15.97 9.33–16.72 | 23.81 18.03–29.59 16.53–31.10 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.52 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.91 | 3.21 0.95–5.46 0.36–6.05 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.93–6.41 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.67–4.54 1.28–4.93 | 3.28 1.73–4.84 1.30–5.27 | 6.39 3.40–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.