Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
19%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.052.283.33safe0.08–2.021.42–3.131.51–5.15safer0.00–2.271.20–3.361.03–5.63
Shots on target
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.626.4610.08safe1.76–5.484.72–8.206.48–13.69safer1.27–5.974.25–8.675.52–14.64
Total shots
18%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7116.0627.76safe7.78–15.6312.49–19.6220.28–35.25safer6.69–16.7211.53–20.5818.22–37.30
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6711.1518.82safe4.73–10.618.47–13.8313.20–24.45safer3.90–11.447.73–14.5711.63–26.01
Blocked shots
31%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.624.538.15safe1.74–5.502.88–6.184.61–11.68safer1.19–6.042.39–6.683.58–12.72
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.295.409.68safe2.07–6.503.40–7.405.47–13.90safer1.50–7.082.86–7.934.36–15.00
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction44.8154.57safe38.02–51.6047.79–61.36safer36.35–53.2746.12–63.03
Passes
24%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction414499914safe347–482433–566780–1047safer329–500415–583744–1083
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction67.9275.55safe63.89–71.9571.22–79.87safer62.60–73.2569.92–81.18
Fouls
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6010.3123.91safe10.76–16.447.37–13.2618.13–29.70safer10.01–17.196.62–14.0116.63–31.20
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.403.14safe0.58–2.900.31–2.490.88–5.39safer0.28–3.200.02–2.780.30–5.98
Yellow cards
48%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.593.64safe1.00–3.100.46–2.721.46–5.82safer0.73–3.360.17–3.010.90–6.38
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.022.656.67safe2.58–5.461.09–4.213.68–9.66safer2.20–5.840.67–4.632.87–10.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.08–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 2.28 1.42–3.13 1.20–3.36 | 3.33 1.51–5.15 1.03–5.63 | 16% 19% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.62 1.76–5.48 1.27–5.97 | 6.46 4.72–8.20 4.25–8.67 | 10.08 6.48–13.69 5.52–14.64 | 14% 77% |
| Total shots | 11.71 7.78–15.63 6.69–16.72 | 16.06 12.49–19.62 11.53–20.58 | 27.76 20.28–35.25 18.22–37.30 | 18% 77% |
| Shots in box | 7.67 4.73–10.61 3.90–11.44 | 11.15 8.47–13.83 7.73–14.57 | 18.82 13.20–24.45 11.63–26.01 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.74–5.50 1.19–6.04 | 4.53 2.88–6.18 2.39–6.68 | 8.15 4.61–11.68 3.58–12.72 | 31% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.29 2.07–6.50 1.50–7.08 | 5.40 3.40–7.40 2.86–7.93 | 9.68 5.47–13.90 4.36–15.00 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 44.81 38.02–51.60 36.35–53.27 | 54.57 47.79–61.36 46.12–63.03 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 414 347–482 329–500 | 499 433–566 415–583 | 914 780–1047 744–1083 | 24% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.92 63.89–71.95 62.60–73.25 | 75.55 71.22–79.87 69.92–81.18 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 13.60 10.76–16.44 10.01–17.19 | 10.31 7.37–13.26 6.62–14.01 | 23.91 18.13–29.70 16.63–31.20 | 72% 22% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.40 0.31–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.14 0.88–5.39 0.30–5.98 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.73–3.36 | 1.59 0.46–2.72 0.17–3.01 | 3.64 1.46–5.82 0.90–6.38 | 48% 21% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.02 2.58–5.46 2.20–5.84 | 2.65 1.09–4.21 0.67–4.63 | 6.67 3.68–9.66 2.87–10.47 | 63% 14% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.