Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
20%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.162.133.29safe0.19–2.131.27–2.981.46–5.11safer0.00–2.381.04–3.210.98–5.59
Shots on target
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.146.1610.31safe2.28–6.014.42–7.916.70–13.91safer1.79–6.503.95–8.375.75–14.87
Total shots
18%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1216.5328.64safe8.19–16.0412.96–20.0921.16–36.13safer7.10–17.1312.00–21.0519.11–38.18
Shots in box
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction7.9811.7019.67safe5.03–10.929.01–14.3814.05–25.29safer4.20–11.758.28–15.1112.48–26.86
Blocked shots
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.974.927.89safe1.09–4.853.27–6.584.36–11.43safer0.55–5.402.78–7.073.32–12.47
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.236.0810.32safe2.02–6.454.08–8.086.10–14.53safer1.44–7.023.55–8.625.00–15.64
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.6961.11safe32.90–46.4854.32–67.89safer31.23–48.1552.65–69.56
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction356557913safe289–423490–623779–1046safer271–441473–641743–1082
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction64.1677.71safe60.13–68.1973.38–82.03safer58.84–69.4872.07–83.34
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3911.3623.75safe9.55–15.228.42–14.3117.97–29.53safer8.79–15.987.67–15.0516.46–31.04
Offsides
68%
16%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.861.374.23safe1.70–4.020.28–2.461.98–6.49safer1.40–4.330.00–2.751.39–7.08
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.993.96safe0.92–3.020.86–3.121.78–6.13safer0.65–3.280.57–3.411.22–6.69
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.082.856.93safe2.64–5.521.29–4.413.94–9.92safer2.26–5.900.87–4.833.13–10.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 2.13 1.27–2.98 1.04–3.21 | 3.29 1.46–5.11 0.98–5.59 | 20% 20% 60% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.28–6.01 1.79–6.50 | 6.16 4.42–7.91 3.95–8.37 | 10.31 6.70–13.91 5.75–14.87 | 21% 68% |
| Total shots | 12.12 8.19–16.04 7.10–17.13 | 16.53 12.96–20.09 12.00–21.05 | 28.64 21.16–36.13 19.11–38.18 | 18% 77% |
| Shots in box | 7.98 5.03–10.92 4.20–11.75 | 11.70 9.01–14.38 8.28–15.11 | 19.67 14.05–25.29 12.48–26.86 | 17% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 2.97 1.09–4.85 0.55–5.40 | 4.92 3.27–6.58 2.78–7.07 | 7.89 4.36–11.43 3.32–12.47 | 19% 70% |
| Corners | 4.23 2.02–6.45 1.44–7.02 | 6.08 4.08–8.08 3.55–8.62 | 10.32 6.10–14.53 5.00–15.64 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 39.69 32.90–46.48 31.23–48.15 | 61.11 54.32–67.89 52.65–69.56 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 356 289–423 271–441 | 557 490–623 473–641 | 913 779–1046 743–1082 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.16 60.13–68.19 58.84–69.48 | 77.71 73.38–82.03 72.07–83.34 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 12.39 9.55–15.22 8.79–15.98 | 11.36 8.42–14.31 7.67–15.05 | 23.75 17.97–29.53 16.46–31.04 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.86 1.70–4.02 1.40–4.33 | 1.37 0.28–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 4.23 1.98–6.49 1.39–7.08 | 68% 16% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.65–3.28 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.96 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 4.08 2.64–5.52 2.26–5.90 | 2.85 1.29–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 6.93 3.94–9.92 3.13–10.73 | 61% 14% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+