Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.223.05safe0.86–2.800.36–2.071.23–4.87safer0.61–3.050.13–2.300.75–5.35
Shots on target
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.214.349.55safe3.35–7.072.59–6.085.94–13.15safer2.86–7.562.13–6.544.99–14.11
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9912.6127.61safe11.07–18.929.05–16.1820.12–35.09safer9.98–20.018.09–17.1318.07–37.15
Shots in box
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction10.488.5819.06safe7.54–13.435.90–11.2613.44–24.69safer6.71–14.265.16–12.0011.87–26.25
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.763.027.78safe2.88–6.641.36–4.674.24–11.31safer2.33–7.180.87–5.163.20–12.35
Corners
64%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.324.6710.99safe4.11–8.532.67–6.676.77–15.20safer3.53–9.112.13–7.205.67–16.31
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction52.9547.68safe46.16–59.7440.90–54.47safer44.49–61.4139.23–56.14
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction469416885safe402–537349–482751–1019safer384–555332–500716–1054
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction65.7966.80safe61.76–69.8262.47–71.12safer60.47–71.1161.17–72.43
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8312.8522.68safe6.99–12.669.91–15.8016.90–28.46safer6.23–13.429.16–16.5415.39–29.97
Offsides
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.234.06safe0.67–2.991.14–3.321.81–6.31safer0.37–3.290.85–3.611.22–6.90
Yellow cards
19%
18%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.342.523.86safe0.29–2.391.39–3.651.68–6.04safer0.03–2.661.10–3.941.13–6.60
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.130.18safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.450.00–0.81
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.526.33safe1.38–4.251.96–5.073.34–9.32safer0.99–4.641.54–5.502.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.80 0.61–3.05 | 1.22 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.30 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.21 3.35–7.07 2.86–7.56 | 4.34 2.59–6.08 2.13–6.54 | 9.55 5.94–13.15 4.99–14.11 | 55% 33% |
| Total shots | 14.99 11.07–18.92 9.98–20.01 | 12.61 9.05–16.18 8.09–17.13 | 27.61 20.12–35.09 18.07–37.15 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 10.48 7.54–13.43 6.71–14.26 | 8.58 5.90–11.26 5.16–12.00 | 19.06 13.44–24.69 11.87–26.25 | 63% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.76 2.88–6.64 2.33–7.18 | 3.02 1.36–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 7.78 4.24–11.31 3.20–12.35 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 6.32 4.11–8.53 3.53–9.11 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.13–7.20 | 10.99 6.77–15.20 5.67–16.31 | 64% 26% |
| Possession % | 52.95 46.16–59.74 44.49–61.41 | 47.68 40.90–54.47 39.23–56.14 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 469 402–537 384–555 | 416 349–482 332–500 | 885 751–1019 716–1054 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.79 61.76–69.82 60.47–71.11 | 66.80 62.47–71.12 61.17–72.43 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 9.83 6.99–12.66 6.23–13.42 | 12.85 9.91–15.80 9.16–16.54 | 22.68 16.90–28.46 15.39–29.97 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 2.23 1.14–3.32 0.85–3.61 | 4.06 1.81–6.31 1.22–6.90 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.03–2.66 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 3.86 1.68–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 19% 18% 63% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 3.52 1.96–5.07 1.54–5.50 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.53–10.14 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.