Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
17%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.072.543.61safe0.10–2.041.68–3.391.79–5.43safer0.00–2.291.45–3.621.31–5.91
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.986.8510.83safe2.12–5.855.11–8.597.23–14.44safer1.63–6.344.64–9.066.27–15.39
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9617.7029.66safe8.04–15.8814.14–21.2622.17–37.15safer6.94–16.9813.18–22.2220.12–39.20
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9612.4619.42safe4.02–9.909.78–15.1413.80–25.05safer3.19–10.739.04–15.8812.23–26.61
Blocked shots
24%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.384.878.25safe1.50–5.263.22–6.534.71–11.79safer0.95–5.802.73–7.023.68–12.82
Corners
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction4.086.2110.29safe1.87–6.304.21–8.216.08–14.50safer1.30–6.873.67–8.744.97–15.61
Possession %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction43.2056.85safe36.41–49.9950.06–63.63safer34.74–51.6648.39–65.30
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction406541947safe339–474474–607813–1081safer321–492457–625778–1116
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction65.5876.33safe61.55–69.6172.00–80.65safer60.25–70.9070.69–81.96
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1611.9422.09safe7.32–13.008.99–14.8816.31–27.88safer6.56–13.758.24–15.6314.81–29.38
Offsides
34%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.294.23safe0.78–3.101.20–3.381.98–6.48safer0.48–3.400.91–3.671.39–7.07
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.703.19safe0.44–2.540.57–2.821.01–5.37safer0.18–2.810.28–3.120.45–5.92
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.332.787.11safe2.89–5.761.22–4.344.12–10.10safer2.50–6.150.80–4.763.30–10.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 2.54 1.68–3.39 1.45–3.62 | 3.61 1.79–5.43 1.31–5.91 | 14% 17% 69% |
| Shots on target | 3.98 2.12–5.85 1.63–6.34 | 6.85 5.11–8.59 4.64–9.06 | 10.83 7.23–14.44 6.27–15.39 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 11.96 8.04–15.88 6.94–16.98 | 17.70 14.14–21.26 13.18–22.22 | 29.66 22.17–37.15 20.12–39.20 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 6.96 4.02–9.90 3.19–10.73 | 12.46 9.78–15.14 9.04–15.88 | 19.42 13.80–25.05 12.23–26.61 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 3.38 1.50–5.26 0.95–5.80 | 4.87 3.22–6.53 2.73–7.02 | 8.25 4.71–11.79 3.68–12.82 | 24% 63% |
| Corners | 4.08 1.87–6.30 1.30–6.87 | 6.21 4.21–8.21 3.67–8.74 | 10.29 6.08–14.50 4.97–15.61 | 20% 69% |
| Possession % | 43.20 36.41–49.99 34.74–51.66 | 56.85 50.06–63.63 48.39–65.30 | — | 19% 77% |
| Passes | 406 339–474 321–492 | 541 474–607 457–625 | 947 813–1081 778–1116 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.58 61.55–69.61 60.25–70.90 | 76.33 72.00–80.65 70.69–81.96 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 10.16 7.32–13.00 6.56–13.75 | 11.94 8.99–14.88 8.24–15.63 | 22.09 16.31–27.88 14.81–29.38 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 2.29 1.20–3.38 0.91–3.67 | 4.23 1.98–6.48 1.39–7.07 | 34% 20% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.54 0.18–2.81 | 1.70 0.57–2.82 0.28–3.12 | 3.19 1.01–5.37 0.45–5.92 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.33 2.89–5.76 2.50–6.15 | 2.78 1.22–4.34 0.80–4.76 | 7.11 4.12–10.10 3.30–10.91 | 65% 13% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+