Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.283.10safe0.85–2.790.43–2.141.28–4.93safer0.60–3.040.20–2.360.80–5.41
Shots on target
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.254.669.91safe3.39–7.112.92–6.406.30–13.51safer2.90–7.602.45–6.875.35–14.47
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9012.2728.16safe11.97–19.828.71–15.8320.68–35.65safer10.88–20.917.75–16.7918.62–37.70
Shots in box
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction10.578.6519.23safe7.63–13.525.97–11.3313.60–24.85safer6.80–14.355.23–12.0712.04–26.42
Blocked shots
52%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.507.67safe2.30–6.061.84–5.154.14–11.21safer1.75–6.601.35–5.643.10–12.24
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.644.4610.10safe3.43–7.852.46–6.465.89–14.31safer2.85–8.431.93–7.004.78–15.42
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.9544.96safe48.16–61.7438.17–51.74safer46.49–63.4136.50–53.42
Passes
81%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction534426960safe466–601360–493826–1094safer448–619342–510790–1129
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction73.3271.88safe69.29–77.3567.55–76.20safer68.00–78.6466.24–77.51
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6610.5722.23safe8.83–14.507.63–13.5116.45–28.02safer8.07–15.266.88–14.2614.95–29.52
Offsides
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.433.17safe0.59–2.910.34–2.520.92–5.43safer0.28–3.210.05–2.810.33–6.02
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.883.24safe0.31–2.410.75–3.011.06–5.42safer0.04–2.670.46–3.300.50–5.98
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.326.59safe1.83–4.701.77–4.883.60–9.58safer1.44–5.091.34–5.302.79–10.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.82 0.85–2.79 0.60–3.04 | 1.28 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.36 | 3.10 1.28–4.93 0.80–5.41 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.25 3.39–7.11 2.90–7.60 | 4.66 2.92–6.40 2.45–6.87 | 9.91 6.30–13.51 5.35–14.47 | 51% 36% |
| Total shots | 15.90 11.97–19.82 10.88–20.91 | 12.27 8.71–15.83 7.75–16.79 | 28.16 20.68–35.65 18.62–37.70 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 10.57 7.63–13.52 6.80–14.35 | 8.65 5.97–11.33 5.23–12.07 | 19.23 13.60–24.85 12.04–26.42 | 63% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.06 1.75–6.60 | 3.50 1.84–5.15 1.35–5.64 | 7.67 4.14–11.21 3.10–12.24 | 52% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.64 3.43–7.85 2.85–8.43 | 4.46 2.46–6.46 1.93–7.00 | 10.10 5.89–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 54.95 48.16–61.74 46.49–63.41 | 44.96 38.17–51.74 36.50–53.42 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 534 466–601 448–619 | 426 360–493 342–510 | 960 826–1094 790–1129 | 81% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.32 69.29–77.35 68.00–78.64 | 71.88 67.55–76.20 66.24–77.51 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 11.66 8.83–14.50 8.07–15.26 | 10.57 7.63–13.51 6.88–14.26 | 22.23 16.45–28.02 14.95–29.52 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.28–3.21 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.17 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.04–2.67 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.24 1.06–5.42 0.50–5.98 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.83–4.70 1.44–5.09 | 3.32 1.77–4.88 1.34–5.30 | 6.59 3.60–9.58 2.79–10.40 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.