Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.273.19safe0.94–2.880.42–2.131.36–5.01safer0.69–3.130.19–2.360.88–5.49
Shots on target
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.474.259.72safe3.60–7.332.51–5.996.11–13.32safer3.11–7.822.04–6.465.16–14.28
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7011.9528.65safe12.77–20.628.39–15.5121.16–36.14safer11.68–21.717.43–16.4719.11–38.19
Shots in box
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction11.608.0419.64safe8.66–14.545.36–10.7214.02–25.26safer7.83–15.374.62–11.4612.45–26.83
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.953.098.04safe3.06–6.831.44–4.744.50–11.57safer2.52–7.370.95–5.243.47–12.61
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.324.5210.85safe4.11–8.542.52–6.526.64–15.06safer3.54–9.111.99–7.065.53–16.17
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction50.8748.90safe44.08–57.6642.12–55.69safer42.41–59.3340.45–57.36
Passes
55%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction482468950safe415–549401–534816–1083safer397–567384–552780–1119
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction72.0374.97safe68.00–76.0670.65–79.29safer66.71–77.3569.34–80.60
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2710.5621.83safe8.44–14.117.61–13.5016.05–27.61safer7.68–14.876.86–14.2514.54–29.12
Offsides
29%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.193.84safe0.49–2.811.10–3.291.59–6.10safer0.19–3.110.81–3.571.00–6.69
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.983.66safe0.62–2.720.85–3.111.48–5.83safer0.36–2.990.56–3.400.92–6.39
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.386.25safe1.43–4.301.83–4.943.25–9.24safer1.04–4.691.40–5.362.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.88 0.69–3.13 | 1.27 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.36 | 3.19 1.36–5.01 0.88–5.49 | 52% 22% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.47 3.60–7.33 3.11–7.82 | 4.25 2.51–5.99 2.04–6.46 | 9.72 6.11–13.32 5.16–14.28 | 59% 29% |
| Total shots | 16.70 12.77–20.62 11.68–21.71 | 11.95 8.39–15.51 7.43–16.47 | 28.65 21.16–36.14 19.11–38.19 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 11.60 8.66–14.54 7.83–15.37 | 8.04 5.36–10.72 4.62–11.46 | 19.64 14.02–25.26 12.45–26.83 | 76% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.95 3.06–6.83 2.52–7.37 | 3.09 1.44–4.74 0.95–5.24 | 8.04 4.50–11.57 3.47–12.61 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.32 4.11–8.54 3.54–9.11 | 4.52 2.52–6.52 1.99–7.06 | 10.85 6.64–15.06 5.53–16.17 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 50.87 44.08–57.66 42.41–59.33 | 48.90 42.12–55.69 40.45–57.36 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 482 415–549 397–567 | 468 401–534 384–552 | 950 816–1083 780–1119 | 55% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.03 68.00–76.06 66.71–77.35 | 74.97 70.65–79.29 69.34–80.60 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.27 8.44–14.11 7.68–14.87 | 10.56 7.61–13.50 6.86–14.25 | 21.83 16.05–27.61 14.54–29.12 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 2.19 1.10–3.29 0.81–3.57 | 3.84 1.59–6.10 1.00–6.69 | 29% 20% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.66 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 3.38 1.83–4.94 1.40–5.36 | 6.25 3.25–9.24 2.44–10.05 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+