Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.302.043.34safe0.33–2.271.19–2.901.52–5.17safer0.08–2.520.96–3.121.04–5.65
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.476.3310.80safe2.60–6.334.59–8.087.20–14.41safer2.11–6.824.13–8.546.24–15.36
Total shots
26%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6215.5428.16safe8.70–16.5511.98–19.1020.68–35.65safer7.61–17.6411.02–20.0618.63–37.70
Shots in box
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4411.1019.54safe5.50–11.388.42–13.7813.92–25.17safer4.67–12.217.68–14.5212.35–26.73
Blocked shots
44%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.943.877.81safe2.06–5.822.22–5.534.28–11.35safer1.51–6.361.73–6.023.24–12.38
Corners
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.475.7910.26safe2.26–6.683.79–7.796.05–14.47safer1.68–7.263.26–8.324.94–15.58
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction48.3652.39safe41.57–55.1545.60–59.17safer39.90–56.8243.93–60.84
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction466515981safe399–534448–581848–1115safer381–552431–599812–1151
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction72.7578.01safe68.72–76.7773.68–82.33safer67.42–78.0772.37–83.64
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9512.0523.00safe8.11–13.799.10–14.9917.22–28.78safer7.36–14.548.36–15.7415.71–30.29
Offsides
14%
14%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction1.503.254.75safe0.34–2.662.16–4.342.49–7.00safer0.04–2.961.87–4.631.90–7.59
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.973.73safe0.71–2.810.84–3.101.55–5.91safer0.44–3.070.55–3.391.00–6.47
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.583.116.69safe2.14–5.021.55–4.673.70–9.68safer1.76–5.401.13–5.092.89–10.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 2.04 1.19–2.90 0.96–3.12 | 3.34 1.52–5.17 1.04–5.65 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.60–6.33 2.11–6.82 | 6.33 4.59–8.08 4.13–8.54 | 10.80 7.20–14.41 6.24–15.36 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 12.62 8.70–16.55 7.61–17.64 | 15.54 11.98–19.10 11.02–20.06 | 28.16 20.68–35.65 18.63–37.70 | 26% 68% |
| Shots in box | 8.44 5.50–11.38 4.67–12.21 | 11.10 8.42–13.78 7.68–14.52 | 19.54 13.92–25.17 12.35–26.73 | 24% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.06–5.82 1.51–6.36 | 3.87 2.22–5.53 1.73–6.02 | 7.81 4.28–11.35 3.24–12.38 | 44% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 4.47 2.26–6.68 1.68–7.26 | 5.79 3.79–7.79 3.26–8.32 | 10.26 6.05–14.47 4.94–15.58 | 28% 60% |
| Possession % | 48.36 41.57–55.15 39.90–56.82 | 52.39 45.60–59.17 43.93–60.84 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 466 399–534 381–552 | 515 448–581 431–599 | 981 848–1115 812–1151 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.75 68.72–76.77 67.42–78.07 | 78.01 73.68–82.33 72.37–83.64 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 10.95 8.11–13.79 7.36–14.54 | 12.05 9.10–14.99 8.36–15.74 | 23.00 17.22–28.78 15.71–30.29 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 3.25 2.16–4.34 1.87–4.63 | 4.75 2.49–7.00 1.90–7.59 | 14% 14% 72% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.44–3.07 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.73 1.55–5.91 1.00–6.47 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.58 2.14–5.02 1.76–5.40 | 3.11 1.55–4.67 1.13–5.09 | 6.69 3.70–9.68 2.89–10.49 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.