Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
19%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.341.163.50safe1.37–3.310.31–2.011.68–5.32safer1.12–3.560.08–2.241.20–5.80
Shots on target
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction7.123.9911.11safe5.26–8.982.24–5.737.50–14.71safer4.77–9.471.78–6.196.55–15.67
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction20.5411.0131.55safe16.61–24.467.44–14.5724.06–39.03safer15.52–25.566.48–15.5322.01–41.08
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction13.897.4121.31safe10.95–16.844.73–10.0915.69–26.93safer10.12–17.674.00–10.8314.12–28.50
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.613.048.65safe3.73–7.501.39–4.705.12–12.19safer3.19–8.040.90–5.194.08–13.23
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.564.1010.65safe4.34–8.772.10–6.106.44–14.87safer3.77–9.341.56–6.635.33–15.98
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.7545.34safe47.96–61.5438.56–52.13safer46.29–63.2136.89–53.80
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction481404886safe414–549338–471752–1019safer396–567320–488716–1055
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction73.5069.43safe69.47–77.5365.10–73.75safer68.18–78.8263.79–75.06
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2511.4624.71safe10.42–16.098.52–14.4118.93–30.50safer9.66–16.857.77–15.1517.43–32.00
Offsides
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.453.55safe0.94–3.260.36–2.541.30–5.80safer0.64–3.560.07–2.830.71–6.39
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.953.77safe0.77–2.870.82–3.081.59–5.95safer0.50–3.130.53–3.371.04–6.51
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.804.787.58safe1.36–4.233.22–6.334.58–10.57safer0.98–4.622.80–6.763.77–11.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.34 1.37–3.31 1.12–3.56 | 1.16 0.31–2.01 0.08–2.24 | 3.50 1.68–5.32 1.20–5.80 | 64% 19% 18% |
| Shots on target | 7.12 5.26–8.98 4.77–9.47 | 3.99 2.24–5.73 1.78–6.19 | 11.11 7.50–14.71 6.55–15.67 | 79% 13% |
| Total shots | 20.54 16.61–24.46 15.52–25.56 | 11.01 7.44–14.57 6.48–15.53 | 31.55 24.06–39.03 22.01–41.08 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 13.89 10.95–16.84 10.12–17.67 | 7.41 4.73–10.09 4.00–10.83 | 21.31 15.69–26.93 14.12–28.50 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 5.61 3.73–7.50 3.19–8.04 | 3.04 1.39–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 8.65 5.12–12.19 4.08–13.23 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.56 4.34–8.77 3.77–9.34 | 4.10 2.10–6.10 1.56–6.63 | 10.65 6.44–14.87 5.33–15.98 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 54.75 47.96–61.54 46.29–63.21 | 45.34 38.56–52.13 36.89–53.80 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 481 414–549 396–567 | 404 338–471 320–488 | 886 752–1019 716–1055 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.50 69.47–77.53 68.18–78.82 | 69.43 65.10–73.75 63.79–75.06 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 13.25 10.42–16.09 9.66–16.85 | 11.46 8.52–14.41 7.77–15.15 | 24.71 18.93–30.50 17.43–32.00 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.55 1.30–5.80 0.71–6.39 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.04–6.51 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.36–4.23 0.98–4.62 | 4.78 3.22–6.33 2.80–6.76 | 7.58 4.58–10.57 3.77–11.38 | 18% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+