Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.323.10safe0.81–2.750.46–2.171.28–4.92safer0.56–3.000.24–2.400.80–5.40
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.194.0610.25safe4.32–8.052.32–5.816.64–13.85safer3.83–8.541.86–6.275.69–14.81
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5111.0727.58safe12.59–20.447.51–14.6320.10–35.07safer11.50–21.536.55–15.5918.04–37.12
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.627.6719.29safe8.68–14.564.99–10.3513.67–24.91safer7.85–15.394.25–11.0912.10–26.48
Blocked shots
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.043.528.56safe3.16–6.921.87–5.175.03–12.10safer2.61–7.471.38–5.673.99–13.13
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.763.829.58safe3.55–7.981.82–5.825.37–13.80safer2.97–8.551.29–6.354.26–14.90
Possession %
52%
44%
homeawayprediction50.3848.74safe43.59–57.1741.95–55.52safer41.92–58.8440.28–57.19
Passes
60%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction439407846safe372–506341–473712–980safer354–524323–491677–1015
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction72.7376.64safe68.71–76.7672.31–80.96safer67.41–78.0671.00–82.27
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5213.3023.83safe7.69–13.3610.36–16.2518.04–29.61safer6.93–14.129.61–17.0016.54–31.11
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.623.20safe0.42–2.740.52–2.710.95–5.45safer0.12–3.040.24–3.000.36–6.04
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.382.233.61safe0.33–2.431.10–3.361.44–5.79safer0.07–2.700.81–3.650.88–6.35
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.533.576.10safe1.09–3.962.02–5.133.11–9.10safer0.70–4.351.59–5.552.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.81–2.75 0.56–3.00 | 1.32 0.46–2.17 0.24–2.40 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 48% 23% 28% |
| Shots on target | 6.19 4.32–8.05 3.83–8.54 | 4.06 2.32–5.81 1.86–6.27 | 10.25 6.64–13.85 5.69–14.81 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.51 12.59–20.44 11.50–21.53 | 11.07 7.51–14.63 6.55–15.59 | 27.58 20.10–35.07 18.04–37.12 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 11.62 8.68–14.56 7.85–15.39 | 7.67 4.99–10.35 4.25–11.09 | 19.29 13.67–24.91 12.10–26.48 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 5.04 3.16–6.92 2.61–7.47 | 3.52 1.87–5.17 1.38–5.67 | 8.56 5.03–12.10 3.99–13.13 | 64% 24% |
| Corners | 5.76 3.55–7.98 2.97–8.55 | 3.82 1.82–5.82 1.29–6.35 | 9.58 5.37–13.80 4.26–14.90 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 50.38 43.59–57.17 41.92–58.84 | 48.74 41.95–55.52 40.28–57.19 | — | 52% 44% |
| Passes | 439 372–506 354–524 | 407 341–473 323–491 | 846 712–980 677–1015 | 60% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.73 68.71–76.76 67.41–78.06 | 76.64 72.31–80.96 71.00–82.27 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 10.52 7.69–13.36 6.93–14.12 | 13.30 10.36–16.25 9.61–17.00 | 23.83 18.04–29.61 16.54–31.11 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.62 0.52–2.71 0.24–3.00 | 3.20 0.95–5.45 0.36–6.04 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.07–2.70 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 3.61 1.44–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 3.57 2.02–5.13 1.59–5.55 | 6.10 3.11–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.