Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.723.23safe0.54–2.470.87–2.581.41–5.05safer0.29–2.730.64–2.810.93–5.53
Shots on target
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.935.1210.05safe3.07–6.803.38–6.866.45–13.66safer2.58–7.292.91–7.335.49–14.62
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8114.5028.31safe9.89–17.7410.94–18.0620.83–35.80safer8.80–18.839.98–19.0218.78–37.85
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5510.0218.57safe5.60–11.497.34–12.7012.95–24.19safer4.77–12.326.60–13.4411.38–25.76
Blocked shots
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.023.817.83safe2.14–5.902.16–5.474.29–11.36safer1.59–6.441.67–5.963.26–12.40
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.205.0810.28safe2.99–7.413.08–7.086.07–14.50safer2.41–7.992.55–7.614.96–15.60
Possession %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction47.0453.34safe40.25–53.8346.56–60.13safer38.58–55.5044.89–61.80
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction436486921safe368–503419–552788–1055safer350–521402–570752–1091
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction66.4773.65safe62.44–70.5069.32–77.97safer61.15–71.7968.01–79.28
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2512.0623.31safe8.41–14.099.11–15.0017.52–29.09safer7.65–14.848.36–15.7516.02–30.59
Offsides
28%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.023.48safe0.30–2.620.93–3.121.23–5.74safer0.00–2.920.64–3.400.64–6.33
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.753.27safe0.47–2.570.62–2.881.09–5.44safer0.20–2.830.33–3.170.53–6.00
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.373.366.72safe1.93–4.801.80–4.923.73–9.72safer1.54–5.191.38–5.342.92–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.54–2.47 0.29–2.73 | 1.72 0.87–2.58 0.64–2.81 | 3.23 1.41–5.05 0.93–5.53 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.93 3.07–6.80 2.58–7.29 | 5.12 3.38–6.86 2.91–7.33 | 10.05 6.45–13.66 5.49–14.62 | 41% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.81 9.89–17.74 8.80–18.83 | 14.50 10.94–18.06 9.98–19.02 | 28.31 20.83–35.80 18.78–37.85 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 8.55 5.60–11.49 4.77–12.32 | 10.02 7.34–12.70 6.60–13.44 | 18.57 12.95–24.19 11.38–25.76 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.14–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 3.81 2.16–5.47 1.67–5.96 | 7.83 4.29–11.36 3.26–12.40 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Corners | 5.20 2.99–7.41 2.41–7.99 | 5.08 3.08–7.08 2.55–7.61 | 10.28 6.07–14.50 4.96–15.60 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 47.04 40.25–53.83 38.58–55.50 | 53.34 46.56–60.13 44.89–61.80 | — | 33% 62% |
| Passes | 436 368–503 350–521 | 486 419–552 402–570 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.47 62.44–70.50 61.15–71.79 | 73.65 69.32–77.97 68.01–79.28 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 11.25 8.41–14.09 7.65–14.84 | 12.06 9.11–15.00 8.36–15.75 | 23.31 17.52–29.09 16.02–30.59 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 2.02 0.93–3.12 0.64–3.40 | 3.48 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.33 | 28% 22% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.20–2.83 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.27 1.09–5.44 0.53–6.00 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.93–4.80 1.54–5.19 | 3.36 1.80–4.92 1.38–5.34 | 6.72 3.73–9.72 2.92–10.53 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+