Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
21%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.153.18safe1.06–3.000.30–2.011.36–5.00safer0.81–3.250.07–2.230.88–5.48
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.823.599.40safe3.95–7.681.84–5.335.80–13.01safer3.46–8.171.38–5.804.84–13.96
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4510.4726.91safe12.52–20.376.90–14.0319.43–34.40safer11.43–21.465.95–14.9917.38–36.45
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.526.8818.39safe8.57–14.464.20–9.5612.77–24.02safer7.74–15.293.46–10.3011.20–25.58
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.303.187.47safe2.42–6.181.52–4.833.94–11.01safer1.87–6.731.03–5.322.90–12.05
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.924.0810.00safe3.71–8.132.08–6.085.79–14.21safer3.13–8.711.55–6.614.68–15.32
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.9646.95safe47.17–60.7540.16–53.73safer45.50–62.4238.49–55.40
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction467408875safe400–535341–474742–1009safer382–553324–492706–1045
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction71.1769.12safe67.14–75.2064.79–73.44safer65.85–76.4963.49–74.75
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9911.9822.97safe8.15–13.829.04–14.9317.19–28.75safer7.39–14.588.29–15.6815.68–30.26
Offsides
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.563.05safe0.33–2.650.47–2.660.80–5.30safer0.02–2.950.18–2.940.21–5.89
Yellow cards
32%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.983.58safe0.55–2.650.85–3.111.40–5.76safer0.29–2.920.56–3.400.84–6.31
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.293.736.03safe0.86–3.732.18–5.293.04–9.02safer0.47–4.121.75–5.712.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.03 1.06–3.00 0.81–3.25 | 1.15 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.23 | 3.18 1.36–5.00 0.88–5.48 | 58% 21% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.82 3.95–7.68 3.46–8.17 | 3.59 1.84–5.33 1.38–5.80 | 9.40 5.80–13.01 4.84–13.96 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 16.45 12.52–20.37 11.43–21.46 | 10.47 6.90–14.03 5.95–14.99 | 26.91 19.43–34.40 17.38–36.45 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.52 8.57–14.46 7.74–15.29 | 6.88 4.20–9.56 3.46–10.30 | 18.39 12.77–24.02 11.20–25.58 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.30 2.42–6.18 1.87–6.73 | 3.18 1.52–4.83 1.03–5.32 | 7.47 3.94–11.01 2.90–12.05 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.92 3.71–8.13 3.13–8.71 | 4.08 2.08–6.08 1.55–6.61 | 10.00 5.79–14.21 4.68–15.32 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 53.96 47.17–60.75 45.50–62.42 | 46.95 40.16–53.73 38.49–55.40 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 467 400–535 382–553 | 408 341–474 324–492 | 875 742–1009 706–1045 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.17 67.14–75.20 65.85–76.49 | 69.12 64.79–73.44 63.49–74.75 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 10.99 8.15–13.82 7.39–14.58 | 11.98 9.04–14.93 8.29–15.68 | 22.97 17.19–28.75 15.68–30.26 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.02–2.95 | 1.56 0.47–2.66 0.18–2.94 | 3.05 0.80–5.30 0.21–5.89 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.84–6.31 | 32% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 3.73 2.18–5.29 1.75–5.71 | 6.03 3.04–9.02 2.22–9.83 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.