Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.773.404.17safe0.00–1.742.55–4.252.35–5.99safer0.00–1.992.32–4.481.87–6.47
Shots on target
97%
homeawaytotalprediction2.549.0511.59safe0.68–4.417.31–10.797.99–15.20safer0.19–4.906.84–11.267.03–16.15
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7.4622.1929.65safe3.53–11.3818.63–25.7622.16–37.14safer2.44–12.4717.67–26.7220.11–39.19
Shots in box
100%
homeawaytotalprediction5.0017.2122.21safe2.06–7.9414.53–19.8916.59–27.83safer1.23–8.7713.79–20.6315.02–29.40
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction2.055.897.94safe0.17–3.934.23–7.544.40–11.47safer0.00–4.483.74–8.033.37–12.51
Corners
96%
homeawaytotalprediction2.378.4110.78safe0.15–4.586.41–10.416.57–15.00safer0.00–5.165.88–10.955.46–16.10
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction25.0275.18safe18.23–31.8168.40–81.97safer16.56–33.4866.72–83.64
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction2647521016safe197–331685–818882–1150safer179–350668–836847–1185
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction59.6685.59safe55.64–63.6981.27–89.92safer54.34–64.9979.96–91.23
Fouls
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction11.067.8618.92safe8.22–13.904.92–10.8013.14–24.70safer7.47–14.654.17–11.5511.63–26.21
Offsides
36%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.152.424.57safe0.99–3.311.33–3.522.32–6.83safer0.69–3.611.04–3.801.73–7.42
Yellow cards
64%
20%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.160.983.14safe1.11–3.210.00–2.110.96–5.32safer0.84–3.480.00–2.400.41–5.88
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.070.19safe0.00–0.280.00–0.250.00–0.53safer0.00–0.430.00–0.380.00–0.82
GK saves
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.591.687.27safe4.15–7.030.12–3.234.27–10.26safer3.77–7.410.00–3.663.46–11.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.77 0.00–1.74 0.00–1.99 | 3.40 2.55–4.25 2.32–4.48 | 4.17 2.35–5.99 1.87–6.47 | 86% |
| Shots on target | 2.54 0.68–4.41 0.19–4.90 | 9.05 7.31–10.79 6.84–11.26 | 11.59 7.99–15.20 7.03–16.15 | 97% |
| Total shots | 7.46 3.53–11.38 2.44–12.47 | 22.19 18.63–25.76 17.67–26.72 | 29.65 22.16–37.14 20.11–39.19 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 5.00 2.06–7.94 1.23–8.77 | 17.21 14.53–19.89 13.79–20.63 | 22.21 16.59–27.83 15.02–29.40 | 100% |
| Blocked shots | 2.05 0.17–3.93 0.00–4.48 | 5.89 4.23–7.54 3.74–8.03 | 7.94 4.40–11.47 3.37–12.51 | 89% |
| Corners | 2.37 0.15–4.58 0.00–5.16 | 8.41 6.41–10.41 5.88–10.95 | 10.78 6.57–15.00 5.46–16.10 | 96% |
| Possession % | 25.02 18.23–31.81 16.56–33.48 | 75.18 68.40–81.97 66.72–83.64 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 264 197–331 179–350 | 752 685–818 668–836 | 1016 882–1150 847–1185 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.66 55.64–63.69 54.34–64.99 | 85.59 81.27–89.92 79.96–91.23 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 11.06 8.22–13.90 7.47–14.65 | 7.86 4.92–10.80 4.17–11.55 | 18.92 13.14–24.70 11.63–26.21 | 73% 20% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 2.42 1.33–3.52 1.04–3.80 | 4.57 2.32–6.83 1.73–7.42 | 36% 19% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.84–3.48 | 0.98 0.00–2.11 0.00–2.40 | 3.14 0.96–5.32 0.41–5.88 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 5.59 4.15–7.03 3.77–7.41 | 1.68 0.12–3.23 0.00–3.66 | 7.27 4.27–10.26 3.46–11.07 | 90% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+