Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.152.86safe0.75–2.680.29–2.001.04–4.68safer0.49–2.930.06–2.230.56–5.16
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.603.579.18safe3.74–7.471.83–5.325.57–12.78safer3.25–7.961.36–5.784.62–13.74
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6110.6627.27safe12.68–20.537.10–14.2319.78–34.76safer11.59–21.626.14–15.1817.73–36.81
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction10.487.0117.49safe7.54–13.424.33–9.6911.87–23.11safer6.71–14.253.59–10.4310.30–24.68
Blocked shots
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.043.148.18safe3.16–6.931.48–4.794.65–11.72safer2.62–7.470.99–5.283.61–12.75
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.134.1010.24safe3.92–8.352.10–6.106.02–14.45safer3.35–8.921.57–6.644.92–15.56
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction58.2143.02safe51.42–65.0036.23–49.80safer49.75–66.6734.56–51.47
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction516369885safe449–583303–436752–1019safer431–602285–453716–1055
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction69.9667.73safe65.93–73.9963.41–72.05safer64.64–75.2862.10–73.36
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9911.7023.69safe9.15–14.838.76–14.6517.91–29.47safer8.40–15.588.01–15.3916.40–30.98
Offsides
37%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.502.98safe0.32–2.640.41–2.590.72–5.23safer0.02–2.940.12–2.880.13–5.82
Yellow cards
42%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.733.58safe0.80–2.900.60–2.861.40–5.76safer0.54–3.170.31–3.150.85–6.32
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
22%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.866.33safe1.04–3.912.30–5.413.34–9.32safer0.65–4.301.87–5.842.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.75–2.68 0.49–2.93 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 51% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.60 3.74–7.47 3.25–7.96 | 3.57 1.83–5.32 1.36–5.78 | 9.18 5.57–12.78 4.62–13.74 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.61 12.68–20.53 11.59–21.62 | 10.66 7.10–14.23 6.14–15.18 | 27.27 19.78–34.76 17.73–36.81 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.48 7.54–13.42 6.71–14.25 | 7.01 4.33–9.69 3.59–10.43 | 17.49 11.87–23.11 10.30–24.68 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 5.04 3.16–6.93 2.62–7.47 | 3.14 1.48–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 8.18 4.65–11.72 3.61–12.75 | 69% 20% |
| Corners | 6.13 3.92–8.35 3.35–8.92 | 4.10 2.10–6.10 1.57–6.64 | 10.24 6.02–14.45 4.92–15.56 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 58.21 51.42–65.00 49.75–66.67 | 43.02 36.23–49.80 34.56–51.47 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 516 449–583 431–602 | 369 303–436 285–453 | 885 752–1019 716–1055 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.96 65.93–73.99 64.64–75.28 | 67.73 63.41–72.05 62.10–73.36 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 11.99 9.15–14.83 8.40–15.58 | 11.70 8.76–14.65 8.01–15.39 | 23.69 17.91–29.47 16.40–30.98 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.50 0.41–2.59 0.12–2.88 | 2.98 0.72–5.23 0.13–5.82 | 37% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 42% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 3.86 2.30–5.41 1.87–5.84 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.53–10.14 | 22% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+