Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.523.25safe0.76–2.700.67–2.381.43–5.07safer0.51–2.950.44–2.600.95–5.55
Shots on target
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.299.52safe3.37–7.092.54–6.035.91–13.12safer2.88–7.582.08–6.494.96–14.08
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6413.1028.74safe11.72–19.579.53–16.6621.25–36.23safer10.63–20.668.57–17.6219.20–38.28
Shots in box
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction10.419.4019.82safe7.47–13.366.72–12.0814.19–25.44safer6.64–14.195.98–12.8212.63–27.01
Blocked shots
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.333.728.05safe2.45–6.212.06–5.374.51–11.58safer1.90–6.761.57–5.863.48–12.62
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.575.0910.66safe3.36–7.783.09–7.096.45–14.88safer2.78–8.362.56–7.635.34–15.98
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.7644.97safe47.97–61.5538.19–51.76safer46.30–63.2236.51–53.43
Passes
81%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction525417942safe458–592351–484808–1076safer440–610333–501773–1111
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction70.9969.47safe66.96–75.0265.14–73.79safer65.67–76.3163.83–75.10
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2510.4220.68safe7.42–13.097.48–13.3714.90–26.46safer6.66–13.856.73–14.1213.39–27.97
Offsides
34%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.164.03safe0.70–3.031.07–3.261.77–6.28safer0.40–3.330.78–3.541.18–6.87
Yellow cards
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.653.03safe0.33–2.430.53–2.780.86–5.21safer0.06–2.690.23–3.080.30–5.77
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.933.646.58safe1.50–4.372.09–5.203.59–9.57safer1.11–4.761.66–5.622.77–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.76–2.70 0.51–2.95 | 1.52 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.60 | 3.25 1.43–5.07 0.95–5.55 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.23 3.37–7.09 2.88–7.58 | 4.29 2.54–6.03 2.08–6.49 | 9.52 5.91–13.12 4.96–14.08 | 56% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.64 11.72–19.57 10.63–20.66 | 13.10 9.53–16.66 8.57–17.62 | 28.74 21.25–36.23 19.20–38.28 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 10.41 7.47–13.36 6.64–14.19 | 9.40 6.72–12.08 5.98–12.82 | 19.82 14.19–25.44 12.63–27.01 | 55% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.21 1.90–6.76 | 3.72 2.06–5.37 1.57–5.86 | 8.05 4.51–11.58 3.48–12.62 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Corners | 5.57 3.36–7.78 2.78–8.36 | 5.09 3.09–7.09 2.56–7.63 | 10.66 6.45–14.88 5.34–15.98 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 54.76 47.97–61.55 46.30–63.22 | 44.97 38.19–51.76 36.51–53.43 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 525 458–592 440–610 | 417 351–484 333–501 | 942 808–1076 773–1111 | 81% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.99 66.96–75.02 65.67–76.31 | 69.47 65.14–73.79 63.83–75.10 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 10.25 7.42–13.09 6.66–13.85 | 10.42 7.48–13.37 6.73–14.12 | 20.68 14.90–26.46 13.39–27.97 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.03 0.40–3.33 | 2.16 1.07–3.26 0.78–3.54 | 4.03 1.77–6.28 1.18–6.87 | 34% 20% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.06–2.69 | 1.65 0.53–2.78 0.23–3.08 | 3.03 0.86–5.21 0.30–5.77 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 3.64 2.09–5.20 1.66–5.62 | 6.58 3.59–9.57 2.77–10.38 | 32% 15% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.