Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.062.81safe0.79–2.720.20–1.910.99–4.63safer0.54–2.980.00–2.140.51–5.11
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.613.459.06safe3.74–7.471.71–5.195.45–12.66safer3.25–7.961.24–5.664.50–13.62
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1510.2426.39safe12.23–20.086.68–13.8018.91–33.88safer11.14–21.175.72–14.7616.86–35.93
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.526.6717.19safe7.58–13.463.99–9.3511.57–22.81safer6.75–14.293.25–10.0810.00–24.38
Blocked shots
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.662.767.42safe2.78–6.541.11–4.413.88–10.96safer2.23–7.090.61–4.902.85–11.99
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.093.719.81safe3.88–8.311.71–5.715.59–14.02safer3.31–8.881.18–6.254.49–15.13
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction60.9338.83safe54.14–67.7232.05–45.62safer52.47–69.3930.38–47.29
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction562356918safe495–629289–422784–1051safer477–647272–440748–1087
Pass accuracy %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction75.3570.55safe71.32–79.3866.23–74.87safer70.03–80.6764.92–76.18
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9613.4324.39safe8.13–13.8010.48–16.3718.61–30.17safer7.37–14.569.73–17.1217.10–31.68
Offsides
43%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.593.40safe0.65–2.970.50–2.691.15–5.66safer0.35–3.270.21–2.970.56–6.25
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.203.83safe0.58–2.681.07–3.321.65–6.00safer0.32–2.950.78–3.621.09–6.56
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
23%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.223.425.64safe0.79–3.661.87–4.982.65–8.64safer0.40–4.051.44–5.401.84–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.72 0.54–2.98 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 54% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.61 3.74–7.47 3.25–7.96 | 3.45 1.71–5.19 1.24–5.66 | 9.06 5.45–12.66 4.50–13.62 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.15 12.23–20.08 11.14–21.17 | 10.24 6.68–13.80 5.72–14.76 | 26.39 18.91–33.88 16.86–35.93 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.52 7.58–13.46 6.75–14.29 | 6.67 3.99–9.35 3.25–10.08 | 17.19 11.57–22.81 10.00–24.38 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.66 2.78–6.54 2.23–7.09 | 2.76 1.11–4.41 0.61–4.90 | 7.42 3.88–10.96 2.85–11.99 | 70% 19% |
| Corners | 6.09 3.88–8.31 3.31–8.88 | 3.71 1.71–5.71 1.18–6.25 | 9.81 5.59–14.02 4.49–15.13 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 60.93 54.14–67.72 52.47–69.39 | 38.83 32.05–45.62 30.38–47.29 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 562 495–629 477–647 | 356 289–422 272–440 | 918 784–1051 748–1087 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.35 71.32–79.38 70.03–80.67 | 70.55 66.23–74.87 64.92–76.18 | — | 71% 25% |
| Fouls | 10.96 8.13–13.80 7.37–14.56 | 13.43 10.48–16.37 9.73–17.12 | 24.39 18.61–30.17 17.10–31.68 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.59 0.50–2.69 0.21–2.97 | 3.40 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 43% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 2.20 1.07–3.32 0.78–3.62 | 3.83 1.65–6.00 1.09–6.56 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 3.42 1.87–4.98 1.44–5.40 | 5.64 2.65–8.64 1.84–9.45 | 23% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.