Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.183.49safe0.34–2.281.33–3.041.67–5.32safer0.09–2.531.10–3.271.19–5.80
Shots on target
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.166.2110.38safe2.30–6.024.47–7.966.77–13.98safer1.81–6.514.01–8.425.82–14.94
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6514.8527.50safe8.73–16.5811.29–18.4120.01–34.99safer7.64–17.6710.33–19.3717.96–37.04
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction7.9910.6818.67safe5.05–10.938.00–13.3613.05–24.30safer4.22–11.767.26–14.1011.48–25.86
Blocked shots
27%
13%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.354.517.86safe1.47–5.232.86–6.174.33–11.40safer0.93–5.782.37–6.663.29–12.44
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.525.6910.21safe2.30–6.733.69–7.695.99–14.42safer1.73–7.313.15–8.224.88–15.53
Possession %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction46.6255.27safe39.83–53.4148.48–62.05safer38.16–55.0846.81–63.72
Passes
27%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction422494916safe355–489427–560782–1049safer337–508410–577746–1085
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction71.0975.08safe67.06–75.1270.76–79.41safer65.77–76.4169.45–80.72
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5511.8922.43safe7.71–13.388.94–14.8316.65–28.21safer6.95–14.148.19–15.5815.14–29.72
Offsides
48%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.603.63safe0.88–3.200.50–2.691.38–5.89safer0.58–3.500.21–2.980.79–6.48
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.933.53safe0.54–2.640.80–3.061.35–5.70safer0.28–2.910.51–3.350.79–6.26
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.070.18safe0.00–0.270.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.420.00–0.390.00–0.81
GK saves
54%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.702.916.61safe2.27–5.141.35–4.463.62–9.60safer1.88–5.530.93–4.892.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 2.18 1.33–3.04 1.10–3.27 | 3.49 1.67–5.32 1.19–5.80 | 22% 20% 57% |
| Shots on target | 4.16 2.30–6.02 1.81–6.51 | 6.21 4.47–7.96 4.01–8.42 | 10.38 6.77–13.98 5.82–14.94 | 21% 68% |
| Total shots | 12.65 8.73–16.58 7.64–17.67 | 14.85 11.29–18.41 10.33–19.37 | 27.50 20.01–34.99 17.96–37.04 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 7.99 5.05–10.93 4.22–11.76 | 10.68 8.00–13.36 7.26–14.10 | 18.67 13.05–24.30 11.48–25.86 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.35 1.47–5.23 0.93–5.78 | 4.51 2.86–6.17 2.37–6.66 | 7.86 4.33–11.40 3.29–12.44 | 27% 13% 59% |
| Corners | 4.52 2.30–6.73 1.73–7.31 | 5.69 3.69–7.69 3.15–8.22 | 10.21 5.99–14.42 4.88–15.53 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 46.62 39.83–53.41 38.16–55.08 | 55.27 48.48–62.05 46.81–63.72 | — | 28% 67% |
| Passes | 422 355–489 337–508 | 494 427–560 410–577 | 916 782–1049 746–1085 | 27% 72% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.09 67.06–75.12 65.77–76.41 | 75.08 70.76–79.41 69.45–80.72 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 10.55 7.71–13.38 6.95–14.14 | 11.89 8.94–14.83 8.19–15.58 | 22.43 16.65–28.21 15.14–29.72 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.60 0.50–2.69 0.21–2.98 | 3.63 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 48% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.53 1.35–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.70 2.27–5.14 1.88–5.53 | 2.91 1.35–4.46 0.93–4.89 | 6.61 3.62–9.60 2.81–10.42 | 54% 15% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.