Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.393.59safe1.23–3.170.53–2.241.77–5.41safer0.98–3.420.31–2.471.29–5.89
Shots on target
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.634.1710.80safe4.77–8.492.42–5.917.19–14.40safer4.28–8.981.96–6.386.24–15.36
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5210.9228.44safe13.60–21.457.35–14.4820.95–35.93safer12.51–22.546.40–15.4418.90–37.98
Shots in box
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction11.787.8419.62safe8.83–14.725.16–10.5213.99–25.24safer8.00–15.554.42–11.2612.43–26.81
Blocked shots
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.253.308.55safe3.37–7.131.65–4.965.02–12.09safer2.82–7.671.16–5.453.98–13.12
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.3410.11safe3.56–7.982.34–6.345.90–14.33safer2.98–8.561.81–6.884.79–15.43
Possession %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction53.9446.71safe47.15–60.7339.92–53.49safer45.48–62.4038.25–55.16
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction497434931safe430–565367–500797–1065safer412–583350–518762–1100
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction72.5570.60safe68.52–76.5866.27–74.92safer67.23–77.8864.96–76.23
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1011.9424.05safe9.26–14.949.00–14.8918.26–29.83safer8.51–15.708.25–15.6416.76–31.33
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.543.03safe0.33–2.660.44–2.630.78–5.29safer0.03–2.960.16–2.920.19–5.88
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.073.66safe0.55–2.640.94–3.201.48–5.84safer0.28–2.910.65–3.490.93–6.40
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
22%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.834.367.19safe1.39–4.262.80–5.924.19–10.18safer1.00–4.652.38–6.343.38–10.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.20 1.23–3.17 0.98–3.42 | 1.39 0.53–2.24 0.31–2.47 | 3.59 1.77–5.41 1.29–5.89 | 56% 20% 24% |
| Shots on target | 6.63 4.77–8.49 4.28–8.98 | 4.17 2.42–5.91 1.96–6.38 | 10.80 7.19–14.40 6.24–15.36 | 73% 18% |
| Total shots | 17.52 13.60–21.45 12.51–22.54 | 10.92 7.35–14.48 6.40–15.44 | 28.44 20.95–35.93 18.90–37.98 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 11.78 8.83–14.72 8.00–15.55 | 7.84 5.16–10.52 4.42–11.26 | 19.62 13.99–25.24 12.43–26.81 | 78% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 5.25 3.37–7.13 2.82–7.67 | 3.30 1.65–4.96 1.16–5.45 | 8.55 5.02–12.09 3.98–13.12 | 69% 20% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.56–7.98 2.98–8.56 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.81–6.88 | 10.11 5.90–14.33 4.79–15.43 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 53.94 47.15–60.73 45.48–62.40 | 46.71 39.92–53.49 38.25–55.16 | — | 64% 31% |
| Passes | 497 430–565 412–583 | 434 367–500 350–518 | 931 797–1065 762–1100 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.55 68.52–76.58 67.23–77.88 | 70.60 66.27–74.92 64.96–76.23 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 12.10 9.26–14.94 8.51–15.70 | 11.94 9.00–14.89 8.25–15.64 | 24.05 18.26–29.83 16.76–31.33 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.66 0.03–2.96 | 1.54 0.44–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.03 0.78–5.29 0.19–5.88 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.55–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 4.36 2.80–5.92 2.38–6.34 | 7.19 4.19–10.18 3.38–10.99 | 22% 13% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.