Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.893.46safe0.60–2.541.04–2.741.64–5.28safer0.35–2.790.81–2.971.16–5.76
Shots on target
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction5.156.0311.18safe3.29–7.014.29–7.777.57–14.79safer2.80–7.503.82–8.246.62–15.74
Total shots
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0516.2230.27safe10.13–17.9812.65–19.7822.78–37.76safer9.04–19.0711.69–20.7420.73–39.81
Shots in box
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0811.2920.38safe6.14–12.038.61–13.9714.75–26.00safer5.31–12.867.87–14.7113.19–27.57
Blocked shots
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.614.337.94safe1.73–5.492.68–5.984.40–11.47safer1.18–6.032.18–6.473.37–12.51
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.655.6910.34safe2.43–6.863.69–7.696.12–14.55safer1.86–7.433.16–8.225.02–15.66
Possession %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction48.0452.63safe41.25–54.8345.85–59.41safer39.58–56.5044.17–61.09
Passes
41%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction409436845safe342–476369–502711–978safer324–494352–520675–1014
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction66.6372.08safe62.60–70.6667.76–76.40safer61.31–71.9566.45–77.71
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8912.2423.12safe8.05–13.729.29–15.1817.34–28.91safer7.29–14.488.54–15.9315.84–30.41
Offsides
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.983.55safe0.41–2.730.89–3.071.30–5.80safer0.11–3.030.60–3.360.71–6.39
Yellow cards
46%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.643.59safe0.91–3.000.51–2.761.41–5.77safer0.64–3.270.22–3.060.85–6.33
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.433.286.71safe1.99–4.861.73–4.843.72–9.70safer1.60–5.251.30–5.262.91–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.54 0.35–2.79 | 1.89 1.04–2.74 0.81–2.97 | 3.46 1.64–5.28 1.16–5.76 | 32% 22% 45% |
| Shots on target | 5.15 3.29–7.01 2.80–7.50 | 6.03 4.29–7.77 3.82–8.24 | 11.18 7.57–14.79 6.62–15.74 | 34% 54% |
| Total shots | 14.05 10.13–17.98 9.04–19.07 | 16.22 12.65–19.78 11.69–20.74 | 30.27 22.78–37.76 20.73–39.81 | 31% 62% |
| Shots in box | 9.08 6.14–12.03 5.31–12.86 | 11.29 8.61–13.97 7.87–14.71 | 20.38 14.75–26.00 13.19–27.57 | 27% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.18–6.03 | 4.33 2.68–5.98 2.18–6.47 | 7.94 4.40–11.47 3.37–12.51 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 4.65 2.43–6.86 1.86–7.43 | 5.69 3.69–7.69 3.16–8.22 | 10.34 6.12–14.55 5.02–15.66 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 48.04 41.25–54.83 39.58–56.50 | 52.63 45.85–59.41 44.17–61.09 | — | 37% 58% |
| Passes | 409 342–476 324–494 | 436 369–502 352–520 | 845 711–978 675–1014 | 41% 59% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.63 62.60–70.66 61.31–71.95 | 72.08 67.76–76.40 66.45–77.71 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 10.89 8.05–13.72 7.29–14.48 | 12.24 9.29–15.18 8.54–15.93 | 23.12 17.34–28.91 15.84–30.41 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.98 0.89–3.07 0.60–3.36 | 3.55 1.30–5.80 0.71–6.39 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.00 0.64–3.27 | 1.64 0.51–2.76 0.22–3.06 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.85–6.33 | 46% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.43 1.99–4.86 1.60–5.25 | 3.28 1.73–4.84 1.30–5.26 | 6.71 3.72–9.70 2.91–10.51 | 44% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.